Ragged-Bungalow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.11K

Open exposure

$55

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-18 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 50% $-63

Politics

43% 100% +$3

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No		+60	$46	92¢	$55	+$9	06-18 10:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	3	$6.6K	3,303	3,303	-0	open	—	05-23 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	2	$6.6K	3,324	3,324	+0	No	$-66	05-04 04:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	15	$4.7K	2,703	2,703	+0	open	—	03-17 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$3.3K	3,318	0	+3,318	open	—	04-29 01:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	1	$3.3K	3,311	0	+3,311	open	—	05-01 09:23
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$3.3K	3,288	0	+3,288	open	—	05-16 11:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.3K	3,284	0	+3,284	open	—	05-15 07:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$3.3K	3,278	0	+3,278	open	—	05-11 08:39
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10?	1	$3.3K	3,256	0	+3,256	No	+$3	05-09 11:20
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$3.2K	3,253	0	+3,253	No	+$3	05-04 04:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$2.3K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	03-17 09:39
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 28?	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	04-27 08:25
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 28?	1	$469	470	0	+470	open	—	04-27 08:26
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 28?	1	$437	438	0	+438	open	—	04-27 08:26
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on April 28?	1	$345	345	0	+345	open	—	04-27 08:25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 28?	1	$343	343	0	+343	open	—	04-27 08:25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on April 28?	1	$316	316	0	+316	open	—	04-27 08:26
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 28?	1	$260	261	0	+261	open	—	04-27 08:26
tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	2	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	06-16 12:40
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 28?	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	04-27 08:26
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$46	60	0	+60	open	—	06-18 10:21
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-17 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 10:21:07	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xea8895…
06-16 12:40:18	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	80	55¢	$44	0x6b062d…
06-09 05:43:49	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$43	0xf2aec5…
05-23 11:52:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	3,303	100¢	$3,293	0x781220…
05-21 01:22:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,532	100¢	$1,524	0x1cb9e2…
05-21 01:18:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,771	100¢	$1,762	0x462ed1…
05-16 11:35:23	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,288	100¢	$3,284	0x43e1e9…
05-15 07:18:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,284	100¢	$3,278	0x8ac7a8…
05-11 08:39:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,278	99¢	$3,255	0xdeea8f…
05-09 11:20:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10?	No	BUY	3,256	100¢	$3,252	0xec8e8c…
05-04 04:56:16	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	3,253	100¢	$3,249	0x773b92…
05-04 04:55:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	3,324	98¢	$3,255	0xdb2dc0…
05-04 01:38:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	3,324	100¢	$3,321	0xd0413f…
05-01 09:23:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3,311	100¢	$3,308	0x4e4689…
04-29 01:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	3,318	100¢	$3,315	0x93b571…
04-27 08:26:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 28?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xdf4d09…
04-27 08:26:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 28?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0x0f1a08…
04-27 08:26:26	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc5e9e9…
04-27 08:26:08	Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on April 28?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0xd64162…
04-27 08:26:04	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 28?	No	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0xf20136…
04-27 08:25:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 28?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x9ccf2c…
04-27 08:25:54	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on April 28?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0x9c85e5…
04-27 08:25:12	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x732e84…
03-17 09:41:41	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc9a4b1…
03-17 09:39:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	1,576	72¢	$1,135	0x5da38c…
03-17 09:06:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	425	75¢	$319	0xd3cb67…
03-17 09:04:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1,152	75¢	$864	0x24f205…
03-17 08:37:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1,359	87¢	$1,182	0x405044…
03-17 06:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,359	87¢	$1,182	0xea576c…
03-17 03:35:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	84	88¢	$74	0x84f874…
03-17 03:33:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe4adf4…
03-17 03:32:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x82f9d9…
03-17 03:30:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa20a1b…
03-17 03:21:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xdab88a…
03-17 03:21:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x3b651c…
03-17 03:14:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xb2deab…
03-17 03:09:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0xdd4d5f…
03-17 03:09:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	127	88¢	$112	0x2abfcc…
03-17 03:08:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x73c0b7…
03-17 03:08:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x4d77b4…
03-17 03:06:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	68	88¢	$60	0x3d9626…
03-17 01:52:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,344	87¢	$1,169	0xf73f51…