Quarterly-Charity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 35% $-54

Politics

3% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	7	$21	57	32	+25	Down	+$1	05-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$18	14	10	+4	Down	+$2	05-12 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$16	332	28	+304	Up	$-10	05-12 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$16	510	10	+500	Down	$-4	05-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$15	20	20	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	7	$11	13	12	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$11	300	50	+250	Up	$-9	05-12 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$9	139	0	+139	Up	$-9	05-12 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$8	22	7	+14	Up	$-2	05-12 18:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	3	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	$-6	05-13 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	269	0	+269	Down	$-5	05-12 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-12 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-12 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 21:19
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$4	400	400	+0	open	—	05-13 09:28
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-12 20:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$2	67	0	+67	Down	$-2	05-12 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 21:41
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	2	$2	77	77	+0	open	—	05-13 16:29
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	2	$2	125	125	+0	open	—	05-12 19:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 19:58
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 19:47
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-12 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:40:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x3700e4…
05-13 16:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xdc1133…
05-13 16:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1402d5…
05-13 16:31:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a8c8a…
05-13 16:29:29	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xdbcfec…
05-13 16:27:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa68d03…
05-13 16:24:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x048a8d…
05-13 09:28:42	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$2	0x1f4349…
05-12 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6361ce…
05-12 21:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x917008…
05-12 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x82ab03…
05-12 21:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5f6542…
05-12 21:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x37474e…
05-12 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd1d694…
05-12 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x8ff380…
05-12 21:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcabcbb…
05-12 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x9cf8e9…
05-12 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x988f5a…
05-12 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x8e39b9…
05-12 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x32c9e2…
05-12 20:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x7440d7…
05-12 20:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0561b0…
05-12 20:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa2ed8…
05-12 20:02:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xcdf320…
05-12 19:58:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x040bb2…
05-12 19:58:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa4695f…
05-12 19:58:30	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2f156…
05-12 19:54:01	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x77a63e…
05-12 19:51:56	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x482ff5…
05-12 19:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd8fb07…
05-12 19:47:27	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa40287…
05-12 19:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x8cf9d3…
05-12 19:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x05964a…
05-12 19:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7200e1…
05-12 19:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1ca378…
05-12 19:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa19bc0…
05-12 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x731b34…
05-12 19:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x0e3b72…
05-12 19:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8b05b0…
05-12 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf755dc…
05-12 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfb92fb…
05-12 19:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcbece4…
05-12 19:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2fefc4…
05-12 19:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x92a7f7…
05-12 19:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6ec867…
05-12 19:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xd891c3…
05-12 19:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x26d32a…
05-12 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x446b94…
05-12 19:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5f2a47…
05-12 19:08:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x83a010…
05-12 19:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x484acb…
05-12 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x617ebb…
05-12 18:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe7be3c…
05-12 18:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd06721…
05-12 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb46bb8…
05-12 18:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1ee192…
05-12 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xed3908…
05-12 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x443d6f…
05-12 18:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x36e63d…
05-12 18:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0x0698b9…
05-12 18:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf06eef…
05-12 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe707f5…
05-12 18:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x8affe3…
05-12 18:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd723b3…
05-12 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xe40b76…
05-12 18:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x545140…
05-12 18:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9dd18e…
05-12 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb1da24…
05-12 18:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x56d7fe…
05-12 18:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xa21476…
05-12 18:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xa76621…
05-12 18:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcc2971…
05-12 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4fd1fc…
05-12 18:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4a7483…
05-12 18:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0fef04…
05-12 18:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd6fd15…
05-12 18:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7ee6d5…
05-12 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x310b4b…
05-12 17:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5595ce…
05-12 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xc49afb…
05-12 17:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb25c97…
05-12 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa37a21…
05-12 17:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x97f4e2…
05-12 17:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4b00b6…
05-12 17:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x044d1b…
05-12 17:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	269	2¢	$5	0x4df03e…