Worse-Friction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-08 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 42% $-5

Sports

22% 0% $-5

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$7	29	0	+29	open	—	04-23 12:32
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	2	$7	122	50	+72	open	—	03-24 05:59
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$5	21	0	+21	No	$-5	04-23 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-0	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-08 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-08 07:28
btc updown 5m 1776258000	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-08 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 07:37
btc updown 5m 1776258900	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-15 13:11
btc updown 5m 1775051400	1	$2	150	0	+150	open	—	04-01 13:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	2	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 13:28
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	2	$1	61	60	+0	open	—	04-01 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$1	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 10:08
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	04-27 11:11
will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 1	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-01 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776258600	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-08 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x9f755a…
05-08 10:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x38f4fd…
05-08 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb41ea9…
05-08 08:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6ce098…
05-08 08:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa59954…
05-08 08:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b8ead…
05-08 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6ec3e9…
05-08 08:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x60cc4d…
05-08 08:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x92dd2d…
05-08 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xfaa18f…
05-08 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcd3c06…
05-08 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2acba8…
05-08 07:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x9b2e5f…
05-08 07:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2fd80d…
05-08 07:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xce5059…
05-08 07:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x87c169…
05-08 07:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x921b8b…
04-27 11:11:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb0cee2…
04-23 12:32:20	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5a7202…
04-23 12:32:14	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xcbee48…
04-15 13:11:16	btc updown 5m 1776258900	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x06c686…
04-15 13:09:50	btc updown 5m 1776258600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb24c15…
04-15 13:05:54	btc updown 5m 1776258000	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x10e255…
04-15 12:59:54	btc updown 5m 1776258000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x96d746…
04-01 13:55:31	btc updown 5m 1775051400	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x0d6b6a…
04-01 13:28:05	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x3f2d45…
04-01 13:28:03	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x7cd170…
04-01 11:00:21	will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 1	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe42e51…
03-31 19:07:23	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xace71d…
03-31 19:05:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8cda02…
03-24 05:59:01	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x41daf5…
03-13 08:45:47	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$3	0x1428de…
03-13 08:37:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x8e12e9…
03-13 08:36:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xdc6b32…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	18	$14.7K	678	05-08 10:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$50.0K	1,907	05-08 10:08
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	16	$31.5K	4,221	05-08 10:08
Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8	16	$26.4K	2,027	05-08 10:08
(anonymous) 0x2e9b…2171	16	$13.1K	1,740	05-08 10:08
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	16	$11.4K	843	05-08 10:07
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	16	$9.44K	847	05-08 10:09
Ill-Babushka 0x44ab…bef3	16	$8.86K	1,435	05-08 10:08