Lumpy-Acknowledgment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Up	+$1	05-06 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Down	+$2	05-06 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-06 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-06 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-07 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	6	+6	Down	$-0	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-07 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-06 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-07 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-06 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-06 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-07 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	115	+115	Up	$-1	05-06 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	4	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	05-06 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdd02a6…
05-07 00:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6a369e…
05-07 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x808dad…
05-07 00:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd301fe…
05-07 00:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd443f8…
05-07 00:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe33858…
05-07 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc45ebc…
05-07 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecc79a…
05-07 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4046c0…
05-06 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd3ae01…
05-06 22:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9adc20…
05-06 20:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7419a8…
05-06 20:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xcc40e6…
05-06 20:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xabb479…
05-06 20:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x155ffd…
05-06 20:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5d7ff7…
05-06 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x82d9ea…
05-06 19:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x840fb9…
05-06 19:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x58d0b8…
05-06 18:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb02302…
05-06 18:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6768d3…
05-06 18:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc098d6…
05-06 18:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff317e…
05-06 18:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0f4944…
05-06 18:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2cdc90…
05-06 18:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaa6ae3…
05-06 18:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbdb7ae…
05-06 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe91959…
05-06 17:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x13a0c8…
05-06 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xce9ed1…
05-06 16:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x66027c…
05-06 16:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0942f5…
05-06 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3c0c66…