Bleak-Extension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$281

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-19 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Sports

27% 100% +$390

Crypto

26% 23% $-109

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	6	$1.7K	765	1,371	-606	open	—	01-25 05:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$1.2K	750	750	+0	open	—	01-25 20:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	open	—	01-31 21:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	01-25 12:22
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$600	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	02-01 04:15
btc updown 5m 1772971800	1	$200	276	0	+276	open	—	03-08 12:10
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	01-23 20:57
will iran strike israel on march 7	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	03-07 21:30
btc updown 5m 1772972100	2	$161	105	104	+2	open	—	03-08 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$160	299	274	+25	open	—	05-14 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$150	189	0	+189	open	—	05-14 08:08
btc updown 5m 1772970900	1	$148	313	0	+313	open	—	03-08 11:58
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$145	83	83	+0	open	—	03-07 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$130	172	0	+172	open	—	05-15 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$100	419	0	+419	open	—	05-14 07:47
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$97	487	0	+487	Sean Strickland	+$390	05-09 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$91	141	141	+0	open	—	05-14 07:44
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 totals 2pt5	1	$83	148	0	+148	open	—	03-07 21:41
btc updown 5m 1772972400	1	$80	434	0	+434	open	—	03-08 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$71	116	0	+116	open	—	05-15 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$60	407	0	+407	Up	$-60	05-12 17:53
btc updown 5m 1773687600	2	$59	45	45	+1	open	—	03-16 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$50	379	0	+379	open	—	05-14 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$50	179	0	+179	open	—	05-14 12:20
btc updown 5m 1772971500	1	$50	179	0	+179	open	—	03-08 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$50	188	0	+188	open	—	05-14 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$47	236	36	+200	open	—	05-15 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 11:15
btc updown 5m 1773086700	1	$36	53	0	+53	open	—	03-09 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$36	1,048	48	+1,000	open	—	05-14 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfcd2ec…
05-18 11:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x66a1a8…
05-18 11:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xde10a3…
05-18 11:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9ff8ea…
05-18 11:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x95e234…
05-18 11:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x900307…
05-18 11:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0f8b11…
05-18 11:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf89e65…
05-18 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x91f01f…
05-18 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2f1cf5…
05-18 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xae7ce6…
05-18 11:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbca431…
05-18 11:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x25c41e…
05-18 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3bf805…
05-18 11:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xcc816e…
05-18 11:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x793cd0…
05-17 08:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x327920…
05-17 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0x4aa0af…
05-17 00:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x059d5e…
05-16 23:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xaa384c…
05-16 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x2d04cb…
05-16 21:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x599b40…
05-16 21:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4c6e4f…
05-16 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x931bf0…
05-16 21:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x062c5a…
05-16 21:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x241c65…
05-16 21:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x205ff2…
05-16 21:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa7833f…
05-16 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x99b350…
05-16 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x14edb3…
05-16 21:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x43b4e5…
05-16 21:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x88e060…
05-15 20:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x23c95d…
05-15 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x19d67f…
05-15 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xc2b151…
05-15 20:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa12e98…
05-15 20:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x854314…
05-15 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb0f86c…
05-15 20:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	146	21¢	$30	0x078002…
05-15 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	42¢	$11	0x58f246…
05-15 20:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x6c4be5…
05-15 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xa76740…
05-15 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd7ecb2…
05-15 09:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5c8dba…
05-15 09:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ba651…
05-15 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfcba31…
05-15 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9dd532…
05-15 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x62c51a…
05-15 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5e3836…
05-15 09:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x590717…
05-15 09:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3a5419…
05-14 12:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x8bbe09…
05-14 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe397cc…
05-14 08:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x3a0c25…
05-14 08:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x736782…
05-14 08:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0xdaa310…
05-14 08:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x18a72b…
05-14 08:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x04b88e…
05-14 08:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa7a70d…
05-14 08:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	379	13¢	$50	0x0773c1…
05-14 07:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xd87394…
05-14 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	274	40¢	$108	0xd9073c…
05-14 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	274	18¢	$50	0xe645b5…
05-14 07:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	188	27¢	$50	0xe3bd4e…
05-14 07:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	274	18¢	$50	0x925df9…
05-14 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	145	35¢	$50	0xc532ff…
05-14 07:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	141	29¢	$41	0x7cff99…
05-14 07:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0x393fe1…
05-13 09:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x70236e…
05-12 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xefe258…
05-12 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x4a72c3…
05-12 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xedd3c8…
05-12 17:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xde1025…
05-12 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c0fcf…
05-12 11:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdb2bb3…
05-12 08:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x288f60…
05-12 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x397b23…
05-11 09:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xce8c90…
05-11 09:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7c925f…
05-11 09:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd6d595…
05-11 09:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfa9aa1…
05-11 09:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbc8a8f…
05-09 21:04:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	487	20¢	$97	0x359c03…
04-11 12:04:09	btc updown 5m 1775908800	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x919880…
03-29 07:05:40	btc updown 5m 1774767900	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x977f20…
03-28 11:49:53	btc updown 5m 1774698300	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xbdecad…
03-28 11:49:17	btc updown 5m 1774698300	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7c0138…
03-27 14:23:15	btc updown 5m 1774621200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x87ef9f…
03-27 14:22:43	btc updown 5m 1774621200	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe02438…
03-25 09:28:25	btc updown 5m 1774430700	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5e4e56…
03-22 13:19:17	btc updown 5m 1774185300	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb8a9df…
03-21 18:47:41	btc updown 5m 1774118700	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xee678b…
03-21 18:40:31	btc updown 15m 1774117800	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x03c3f2…
03-21 12:00:57	btc updown 5m 1774094400	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x053f83…
03-21 11:58:35	btc updown 5m 1774094100	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x16b669…
03-21 11:57:55	btc updown 5m 1774094100	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1a0d21…
03-21 10:28:53	btc updown 5m 1774088700	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x069041…
03-16 20:48:47	btc updown 5m 1773693900	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x239cf0…
03-16 20:48:03	btc updown 5m 1773693900	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7a3ee6…
03-16 19:05:17	btc updown 5m 1773687600	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x42ca91…