Miserly-Shallot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-10 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

63% 100% +$3

Crypto

28% 100% +$10

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No		+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	06-10 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mem phi 2026 03 10	21	$1.6K	3,501	900	+2,601	open	—	03-11 01:22
nba tor nop 2026 03 11	5	$240	500	0	+500	open	—	03-11 06:50
btc updown 15m 1773924300	1	$208	209	0	+209	open	—	03-19 12:55
eth updown 15m 1773916200	1	$193	197	0	+197	open	—	03-19 10:41
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-17 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	1	$55	55	0	+55	Down	+$0	05-13 15:50
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-11 09:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	03-12 07:16
Will Sheila Montague win the Newark mayoral election?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-01 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-26 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	05-07 23:29
SC Sagamihara vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC: O/U 3.5	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-16 06:40
Spread: FC Slovan Liberec (-2.5)	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-13 15:54
nba phi was 2026 04 01	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 12:05
nba den min 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 03:15
btc updown 5m 1776239700	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-15 07:59
eth updown 5m 1774084200	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-21 09:14
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 12:05
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-27 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 12:38
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-15 08:00
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-10 13:13
Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	04-01 12:10
ethereum up or down on april 22 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-22 11:11
nba det was 2026 03 19	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-19 10:41
bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on April 28?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 12:40
ethereum up or down on april 15 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-15 13:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-09 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 13:13:45	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4dfe73…
06-10 13:00:36	solana up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd5d13b…
05-27 11:05:24	XRP Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4e19de…
05-26 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8ddba8…
05-26 11:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcf4feb…
05-16 06:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x121b9f…
05-16 06:40:45	SC Sagamihara vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3c0c4c…
05-13 16:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa240cb…
05-13 16:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1d2ae4…
05-13 15:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc16a9c…
05-13 15:54:10	Spread: FC Slovan Liberec (-2.5)	FC Hradec Králové	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x1294bb…
05-13 15:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa55d20…
05-07 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4f7383…
05-07 23:28:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x706309…
04-27 12:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbd86fd…
04-27 12:38:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xe30281…
04-24 03:16:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2ae5f…
04-24 03:15:54	nba den min 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x798fcb…
04-22 11:11:58	ethereum up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x40dcd6…
04-22 11:11:18	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa8559d…
04-17 14:12:48	bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x9400fe…
04-15 13:33:28	ethereum up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3029d7…
04-15 08:03:38	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xcb2470…
04-15 08:01:28	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6bc380…
04-15 08:00:32	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x50a8dc…
04-15 07:59:58	btc updown 5m 1776239700	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4aa30f…
04-15 07:59:40	btc updown 5m 1776239700	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x087be8…
04-11 09:36:59	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe0cde6…
04-11 09:34:41	highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 21c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1277b2…
04-11 09:31:55	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xaf6f02…
04-01 12:10:43	Will Sheila Montague win the Newark mayoral election?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x48ba12…
04-01 12:10:27	Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x44c19f…
04-01 12:09:47	eth updown 5m 1775045100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1504a7…
04-01 12:08:31	nba sac tor 2026 04 01	Raptors	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x686fe8…
04-01 12:08:23	nba sac tor 2026 04 01	Raptors	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe9538b…
04-01 12:07:45	solana up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3ccd6c…
04-01 12:06:21	nba den uta 2026 04 01	Nuggets	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x49fc0d…
04-01 12:05:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc4f0bf…
04-01 12:05:45	nba phi was 2026 04 01	76ers	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xb39a9e…
04-01 12:05:23	bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x55e112…
03-31 06:49:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x437b11…
03-31 06:48:39	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaca6c1…
03-31 06:47:55	ethereum up or down march 31 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x164a0a…
03-30 23:25:29	nhl cal col 2026 03 30	Avalanche	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb20a2a…
03-30 23:21:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x16e648…
03-27 13:22:23	highest temperature in chengdu on march 28 2026 22c	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x9af765…
03-27 13:19:57	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Clippers	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd378a3…
03-27 13:19:31	bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xceadef…
03-25 14:45:43	ethereum up or down march 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xda457c…
03-21 09:14:37	eth updown 5m 1774084200	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb0e93d…
03-21 09:12:13	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Thunder	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7fd17c…
03-19 13:04:55	eth updown 15m 1773925200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x256545…
03-19 12:55:59	btc updown 15m 1773924300	Down	BUY	209	99¢	$208	0x46ddab…
03-19 10:41:59	eth updown 15m 1773916200	Down	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x82fc47…
03-19 10:41:37	nba cle chi 2026 03 19	Cavaliers	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2081f3…
03-19 10:41:19	nba det was 2026 03 19	Pistons	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa16ea1…
03-19 10:41:03	cs2 biga aim1 2026 03 19	BIG Academy	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8eb8cf…
03-12 07:16:11	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x1f31a4…
03-11 06:50:11	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	BUY	421	48¢	$202	0x547381…
03-11 06:50:09	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0xec00fb…
03-11 06:50:09	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x7c16fd…
03-11 06:50:05	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xbf4d9d…
03-11 06:50:03	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x36f7d8…
03-11 01:22:35	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	SELL	900	26¢	$234	0xccdb7a…
03-10 13:21:41	btc updown 15m 1773148500	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2fd549…
03-10 13:16:25	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xceeef0…
03-10 13:16:19	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xb0dae7…
03-10 13:16:11	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xf0f36f…
03-10 13:15:41	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6804fa…
03-10 13:15:17	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	324	40¢	$130	0x2f8796…
03-10 13:14:49	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x02cc74…
03-10 13:14:31	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x05d96a…
03-10 13:13:49	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	116	40¢	$46	0x705939…
03-10 13:13:27	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbba868…
03-10 13:13:25	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0xd9a1e0…
03-10 13:13:19	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x892120…
03-10 13:13:17	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xc86627…
03-10 13:13:01	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x21894a…
03-10 13:12:57	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x9d29ab…
03-10 13:12:37	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	714	40¢	$285	0xc5e982…
03-10 12:50:29	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	361	40¢	$144	0x1d0b02…
03-10 12:50:13	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	333	40¢	$133	0xf6f7d6…
03-10 12:50:09	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x61e66b…
03-10 12:43:53	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	278	40¢	$111	0x27ae5f…
03-10 12:16:09	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	1,113	40¢	$445	0xda738c…
03-09 11:34:23	eth updown 5m 1773055800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb24e49…
03-09 11:32:01	ethereum up or down march 9 7am et	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc16973…
03-09 11:31:29	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x848515…
03-09 11:29:15	btc updown 5m 1773055500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x364d15…
03-09 11:28:25	eth updown 5m 1773055500	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x58d59f…
03-09 11:21:37	eth updown 5m 1773055200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7eefac…
03-09 11:17:25	btc updown 5m 1773054900	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d2834…
03-09 11:17:03	bnb up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2833ed…
03-09 11:16:27	solana up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xae23f9…
03-09 11:15:49	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x671b9a…
03-09 11:15:23	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x849877…
03-09 11:14:05	btc updown 15m 1773054000	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x468a61…
03-09 11:13:29	xrp updown 15m 1773054000	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x29633e…
03-09 11:12:59	sol updown 15m 1773054000	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf2b9d3…
03-09 11:12:27	eth updown 15m 1773054000	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ae859…