Pretty-Catalysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-27 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 75% +$42

Other

33% — —

Sports

12% 100% +$41

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	3	$631	371	365	+6	open	—	04-17 21:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	8	$483	1,783	0	+1,783	open	—	04-17 21:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$184	523	0	+523	open	—	04-16 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	18	$109	76	76	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 21:32
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	1	$100	163	0	+163	open	—	04-18 23:49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	14	$99	455	275	+180	open	—	05-27 23:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$86	51	50	+1	open	—	04-17 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$71	90	0	+90	open	—	05-18 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	26	$71	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 21:28
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$70	111	0	+111	Alexander Volkov	+$41	05-01 14:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	05-14 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	22	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	04-14 20:28
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-17 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$38	57	0	+57	Up	+$19	05-10 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$36	24	24	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 21:17
JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	2	$34	2,373	2,373	+0	open	—	05-27 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	05-17 14:30
will trump say blockade during fox interview on wednesday	2	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	04-16 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$25	0	25	-25	Up	$-0	05-10 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-17 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$24	24	0	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	11	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 21:22
wrestlefest aj lee vs becky lynch	1	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	04-18 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-10 16:48
will trump say bottom of the sea during fox interview on wednesday	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 01:14
will trump say underwater during fox interview on wednesday	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 01:15
will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 01:15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 20:36
will trump say gay during fox interview on wednesday	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 23:41:45	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	Yes	SELL	2,373	1¢	$14	0x1c36e8…
05-27 23:36:05	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3f7a4f…
05-27 23:35:53	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	Yes	BUY	2,373	1¢	$20	0xc26068…
05-27 23:22:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xc932aa…
05-27 23:22:31	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x52b8ec…
05-27 23:22:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x186483…
05-27 23:22:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1f527a…
05-27 23:22:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xa421ea…
05-27 23:21:37	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xe2b945…
05-27 23:21:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xdcc044…
05-27 23:21:28	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xeaa76e…
05-27 23:21:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x86c200…
05-27 23:21:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xfea353…
05-27 23:21:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xeddd48…
05-27 23:21:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x5f3932…
05-27 23:21:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	78	18¢	$14	0x081489…
05-27 23:15:49	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x5332e9…
05-18 16:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeabeff…
05-18 16:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x75c138…
05-18 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6aff23…
05-18 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x168a2f…
05-18 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0d5809…
05-18 16:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xff593b…
05-18 16:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3a3ea7…
05-18 16:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x142b79…
05-17 14:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x185f22…
05-17 14:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x31c51a…
05-17 14:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x84a431…
05-17 13:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6691db…
05-17 13:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeaeed1…
05-17 13:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc3704…
05-17 13:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x924857…
05-17 13:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x86ad0f…
05-17 02:54:24	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x61deda…
05-14 20:36:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x09f01d…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfcc9de…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf27f31…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6c01fc…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x50fa91…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x48020e…
05-14 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x19538b…
05-14 15:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa61530…
05-14 15:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4e0da5…
05-14 15:49:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x18b612…
05-12 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1159fb…
05-12 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc8c178…
05-12 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa52933…
05-12 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3283e0…
05-12 15:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf62c40…
05-12 15:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa5784a…
05-12 15:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8804ea…
05-12 15:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbd1a91…
05-12 15:32:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xe551ab…
05-12 15:32:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9c355c…
05-11 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2ca00…
05-11 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa72804…
05-11 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x132a02…
05-11 13:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6b86b…
05-11 13:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f3980…
05-11 13:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1fef22…
05-11 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0b4b9…
05-11 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37a636…
05-10 21:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7af189…
05-10 21:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9a03de…
05-10 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	83¢	$20	0x27dfa4…
05-10 21:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb547a6…
05-10 21:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9878bc…
05-10 21:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc28ab…
05-10 21:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54c8ea…
05-10 21:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2336bc…
05-10 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdb20e2…
05-10 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3913db…
05-10 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3176e1…
05-10 21:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfbff1d…
05-10 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc52dbb…
05-10 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa6996d…
05-10 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa4d0bf…
05-10 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7267ee…
05-10 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4a48a5…
05-10 21:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x95333b…
05-10 21:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc412ac…
05-10 21:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x811ba0…
05-10 21:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x577627…
05-10 21:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab1d61…
05-10 21:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b81ba…
05-10 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcf5e1a…
05-10 21:33:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc40886…
05-10 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xa26ffc…
05-10 21:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x798888…
05-10 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8ba172…
05-10 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x84de14…
05-10 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x76ff19…
05-10 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x74b85a…
05-10 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2afded…
05-10 21:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xac4a3b…
05-10 21:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaa897c…
05-10 21:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x41331e…
05-10 21:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x29f92a…
05-10 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe986b9…
05-10 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa2151b…