Fabulous-Celebrity-Hierarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$837

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-10 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% $-75

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$221	122	122	+0	Up	+$21	05-04 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$113	63	63	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	2	$60	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 22:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	1	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	$-30	05-06 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$30	66	0	+66	Down	+$36	05-06 19:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	1	$30	48	0	+48	No	$-30	05-06 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$30	62	0	+62	Up	$-6	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	05-04 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$20	36	0	+36	Up	$-2	05-07 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-03 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-08 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$19	52	0	+52	open	—	05-04 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-04 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	1	$16	229	0	+229	Up	$-16	05-05 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$15	29	0	+29	Up	$-4	05-10 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$15	35	0	+35	Up	$-3	05-04 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	83	0	+83	Up	$-10	05-08 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$16	05-05 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	167	0	+167	Down	$-10	05-05 23:05
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	1	$10	77	0	+77	Down	$-10	05-07 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Down	$-10	05-09 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	$-10	05-10 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$1	05-09 11:00
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-09 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	05-03 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd22a75…
05-10 11:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x829ded…
05-10 11:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8d19c3…
05-09 19:44:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x174dc5…
05-09 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xdb1b0f…
05-09 19:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe4f2c0…
05-09 19:39:51	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd99e34…
05-09 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x960ee0…
05-09 11:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa889d2…
05-09 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x59fcd1…
05-09 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x115793…
05-08 17:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x24329b…
05-08 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x584689…
05-07 18:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x74d60f…
05-07 18:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf72e56…
05-07 10:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x06e941…
05-06 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0xd3aabd…
05-06 15:56:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xaad1aa…
05-06 09:40:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xd24f19…
05-05 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x29a21c…
05-05 22:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd01ac9…
05-05 19:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x8ec79b…
05-05 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x3ef553…
05-05 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	229	7¢	$16	0x656e7a…
05-05 12:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xec2bdf…
05-05 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x68ca6b…
05-05 10:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xde6abb…
05-04 22:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xab52d8…
05-04 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x0fa541…
05-04 22:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x390835…
05-04 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb8013f…
05-04 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc0b659…
05-04 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcbf8f2…
05-04 21:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x28ff8b…
05-04 21:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc9b9c3…
05-04 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf8f3da…
05-04 19:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x171b50…
05-04 12:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xb1b038…
05-04 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe0f764…
05-04 09:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa48a12…
05-03 15:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x0ca032…
05-03 12:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc40269…
05-03 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x30338b…
05-03 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfb707d…