Bowed-Cigarette — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-11 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

50% 71% +$10

Politics

30% 100% +$5

Crypto

18% 67% +$3

Sports

2% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$2.2K	3,600	3,600	+0	No	+$6	03-29 21:44
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$0	03-29 22:29
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$1.9K	997	997	+0	No	+$1	03-29 21:21
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$1.9K	980	980	+0	No	$-1	03-29 16:31
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$1.9K	992	991	+1	Yes	+$0	03-29 22:07
will iran strike syria in march	3	$1.9K	954	954	+0	No	+$4	03-29 22:40
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	3	$214	1,618	1,618	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 21:55
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$194	1,958	1,958	+0	Yes	+$2	03-29 21:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	5	$146	1,139	1,139	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 17:35
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	2	$73	553	553	+0	No	+$0	03-29 14:57
lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-29 14:00
bra2 cri csc 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	Over	+$2	06-15 05:16
es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	Real Zaragoza	+$1	03-29 14:09
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	Under	+$1	07-11 12:25
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	1	$16	17	0	+17	Under	+$1	05-17 05:57
will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 29	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-29 13:43
es2 mal lpm 2026 06 10 total 0pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	Over	+$1	06-10 07:44
fif idn oma 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	Indonesia	+$1	06-05 10:22
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5	1	$12	13	0	+13	Under	+$1	05-24 07:00
sol updown 15m 1769438700	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	$-4	01-26 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 12:25:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x508b00…
06-15 05:16:54	bra2 cri csc 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x099897…
06-10 07:44:48	es2 mal lpm 2026 06 10 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x9ef519…
06-05 10:22:00	fif idn oma 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Indonesia	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xe1925e…
05-24 07:00:22	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe1dbd3…
05-17 05:57:30	Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf544d9…
03-29 22:40:44	will iran strike syria in march	No	SELL	954	97¢	$929	0x66c2b9…
03-29 22:36:50	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	268	97¢	$260	0x7d088b…
03-29 22:36:50	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	686	97¢	$665	0x0e19a5…
03-29 22:29:04	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	1,040	96¢	$1,002	0xc26d88…
03-29 22:25:20	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,002	0xf1fa6d…
03-29 22:07:10	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	991	95¢	$945	0x27e2c0…
03-29 22:02:28	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	992	95¢	$946	0x8981c4…
03-29 21:55:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	600	7¢	$40	0x3852a2…
03-29 21:55:02	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	1,018	7¢	$67	0x70b84c…
03-29 21:51:34	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	1,618	7¢	$107	0x96a92d…
03-29 21:44:28	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,041	95¢	$988	0xa1944d…
03-29 21:41:08	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	543	95¢	$515	0xab8aa0…
03-29 21:41:08	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x99edde…
03-29 21:41:08	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	491	95¢	$465	0x7ca0ed…
03-29 21:34:24	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,031	5¢	$52	0x72c47b…
03-29 21:34:24	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	927	5¢	$46	0x481c9f…
03-29 21:29:54	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	759	5¢	$37	0x51af60…
03-29 21:29:54	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,199	5¢	$59	0x0a3352…
03-29 21:21:00	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	157	97¢	$152	0x00aadb…
03-29 21:19:12	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	840	97¢	$811	0x3fbec1…
03-29 21:16:16	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	642	96¢	$618	0x356a26…
03-29 21:16:16	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	355	97¢	$344	0x01aafa…
03-29 17:35:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	790	6¢	$51	0x41deef…
03-29 17:31:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	790	6¢	$51	0xafb4d6…
03-29 17:26:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	303	6¢	$19	0x9aa560…
03-29 17:26:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x6153a6…
03-29 17:21:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	349	6¢	$22	0xb4b878…
03-29 16:31:58	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	980	97¢	$949	0xab4fe0…
03-29 16:27:28	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	369	97¢	$358	0x908852…
03-29 16:27:28	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	611	97¢	$592	0x0d526f…
03-29 15:52:58	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,088	5¢	$52	0xcd9b60…
03-29 15:52:58	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,087	5¢	$52	0xcc4450…
03-29 15:52:58	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	384	5¢	$18	0x326239…
03-29 15:49:38	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,455	5¢	$67	0xdcc580…
03-29 15:49:38	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,104	5¢	$51	0xd2e681…
03-29 14:57:48	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	553	7¢	$36	0x4603c9…
03-29 14:53:52	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	7¢	$36	0xfe051a…
03-29 14:09:34	es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Real Zaragoza	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x340694…
03-29 14:00:06	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe8341e…
03-29 13:43:18	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 29	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xcbd566…
01-26 14:57:07	sol updown 15m 1769438700	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x08b9da…