Pessimistic-Woolens — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$694

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-27 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 43% +$6

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-27 08:15
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	3	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	07-15 19:44
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 9am et	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-18 13:36
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	06-09 12:47
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	3	$14	14	8	+5	open	—	06-04 10:31
btc updown 5m 1783402500	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	07-07 05:38
bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	3	$13	39	0	+39	open	—	07-22 17:38
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	3	$13	16	11	+5	open	—	07-15 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 11:51
btc updown 5m 1774336800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-24 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-28 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	3	$11	27	7	+20	open	—	05-21 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-27 07:00
bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 3pm et	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	07-21 19:03
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	07-27 06:59
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-10 09:56
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2am et	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-17 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-27 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 18:45
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 12am et	2	$8	6	5	+0	open	—	04-08 05:59
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 11pm et	2	$8	6	5	+0	open	—	04-03 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 11:44
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 11am et	2	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	07-24 15:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$7	34	34	+0	open	—	03-30 12:01
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6am et	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	07-23 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 14:19
ethereum up or down june 18 2026 6am et	2	$6	32	0	+32	open	—	06-18 10:55
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-29 18:05
bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-20 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 06:59:06	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xb02d7c…
07-27 06:07:37	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x98ff02…
07-25 14:36:37	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x28027b…
07-24 15:01:49	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x172da3…
07-24 15:00:45	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfda938…
07-24 09:18:51	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa838ed…
07-23 10:23:31	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xaf1906…
07-23 10:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9edd30…
07-22 17:38:49	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7261bc…
07-22 17:00:27	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x867bc9…
07-22 17:00:27	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00b9a3…
07-22 10:00:33	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9c533c…
07-21 19:03:12	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1145aa…
07-21 19:03:07	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb74d6c…
07-21 09:28:01	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x31c34b…
07-20 18:00:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xda7e2a…
07-15 19:44:40	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x532717…
07-15 19:20:28	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9db0ca…
07-15 19:01:50	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeff1cf…
07-15 10:32:50	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2261e9…
07-15 10:31:55	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x9b71f9…
07-15 10:31:37	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9841da…
07-12 16:06:49	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x725b95…
07-07 05:38:25	btc updown 5m 1783402500	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x27b276…
07-07 05:36:53	btc updown 5m 1783402500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbddff5…
07-06 19:09:07	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3ffb88…
07-04 19:09:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa6bf24…
07-03 17:11:37	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x48d3e8…
07-03 06:02:46	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x029cd7…
06-30 19:00:28	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe28b0e…
06-29 18:05:25	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb2a026…
06-29 06:00:38	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x586142…
06-28 16:31:14	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xec3393…
06-27 19:00:44	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x088951…
06-26 06:22:44	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x743ff3…
06-25 13:00:59	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x84bf5c…
06-22 06:03:17	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4f46dc…
06-20 04:34:38	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1bbb5e…
06-19 17:39:31	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf94aa4…
06-19 06:01:20	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9c3891…
06-18 13:36:22	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x38492e…
06-18 13:07:32	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x029f4b…
06-18 10:55:05	ethereum up or down june 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x2b1906…
06-18 10:00:23	ethereum up or down june 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e472b…
06-18 02:10:25	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3f90e2…
06-17 06:30:59	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x29f5ca…
06-17 06:23:53	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x73f551…
06-17 05:03:05	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf712c6…
06-16 12:00:57	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7f31dc…
06-15 06:01:40	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x872a73…
06-14 16:02:45	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x56a13a…
06-14 11:00:30	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcd4b48…
06-13 15:00:37	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc9d42…
06-12 16:03:49	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe2d50b…
06-11 20:02:13	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x25fd42…
06-10 13:12:33	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x05608e…
06-10 09:56:07	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x7ee444…
06-10 09:08:16	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0b0cbb…
06-09 16:45:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x05516c…
06-09 12:47:33	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xf47dfa…
06-09 12:00:33	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06e054…
06-09 11:28:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd17645…
06-09 09:05:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6f092d…
06-08 18:13:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe35c5f…
06-08 07:47:30	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7d7701…
06-08 07:41:43	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf711f6…
06-06 05:40:16	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e6ce1…
06-05 03:26:34	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x81b65a…
06-04 13:01:39	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x88cbab…
06-04 10:31:00	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xc775d1…
06-04 10:09:46	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x52860b…
06-04 10:01:46	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd3345c…
06-04 05:09:09	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x42b6c8…
06-04 04:00:51	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2dbe87…
06-03 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6641cb…
06-03 06:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xea27c5…
06-03 04:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x35f876…
06-01 18:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xf8184d…
06-01 18:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x116d89…
06-01 14:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x73e6bd…
06-01 13:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d3e33…
05-30 10:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1ff374…
05-29 07:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9735e3…
05-28 10:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xf85689…
05-28 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1ff026…
05-28 03:57:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0xadd8af…
05-28 03:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe89743…
05-27 20:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x44b761…
05-27 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbc5f8b…
05-27 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd40541…
05-27 13:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5936b6…
05-27 12:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x531f25…
05-27 12:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x964de8…
05-27 07:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x6ca4ee…
05-27 04:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x75862d…
05-27 04:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x724008…
05-26 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xffaa5b…
05-26 04:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8f47b4…
05-25 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Down	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xfe4d1c…
05-23 04:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1edeb6…