Functional-Gazelle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Politics

29% — —

Other

29% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$152	152	+152	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:12
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$131	137	+137	open	—	05-25 17:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$129	131	+131	open	—	05-21 10:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$127	130	+130	open	—	05-15 04:09
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$127	128	+128	Yes	+$1	05-10 02:29
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-14 02:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-23 16:53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$87	92	+92	open	—	04-28 01:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$76	94	+94	open	—	04-21 06:24
will solana reach 180 in january 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-24 03:42
nvda above 230 on january 30 2026	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-19 19:57
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$18	19	+19	open	—	01-15 08:00
aapl above 320 on january 30 2026	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	01-06 21:31
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	3	$14	14	+14	open	—	03-22 00:23
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	02-21 22:40
will chainlink dip to 6 in january	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-08 18:16
amzn above 170 on january 30 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-07 12:55
will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	02-21 01:25
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	3	$11	11	+11	open	—	03-11 12:21
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-21 23:29
will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-23 08:28
nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	03-25 06:36
tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-13 13:11
amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	03-24 17:17
msft above 465 on march 31 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	03-21 13:59
msft above 555 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-22 02:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	03-24 20:29
will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-09 02:21
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-30 11:25
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	3	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-08 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:25:52	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2a729a…
05-29 14:45:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97f80e…
05-25 17:28:11	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$131	0x6ea1b0…
05-21 10:20:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$129	0xbfd27a…
05-15 11:57:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x965631…
05-15 04:09:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$127	0x64ef28…
05-10 02:29:52	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x487e16…
05-09 23:21:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda4453…
05-09 17:53:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x64cb62…
05-09 07:58:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x812a64…
05-07 00:20:02	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4ffe45…
05-05 10:12:26	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xec6955…
04-28 01:17:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	92	95¢	$87	0x0ecfde…
04-25 08:42:20	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeca37f…
04-23 16:53:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa7c4a6…
04-23 10:23:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8886f2…
04-21 06:24:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	94	81¢	$76	0xfee0e9…
04-21 00:36:40	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x262689…
04-18 19:24:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaf373a…
04-18 19:11:20	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0904ba…
04-18 16:32:58	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8cd277…
04-18 14:15:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2853a9…
04-18 08:53:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5fff87…
04-17 05:11:36	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd86613…
04-16 15:52:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1bb3a1…
04-16 03:43:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x60ec0a…
04-15 00:16:00	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x94607a…
04-14 05:33:33	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0c4da…
04-14 02:28:43	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xdb5d27…
04-13 21:03:21	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x077fd0…
04-13 15:39:27	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd31abc…
04-13 15:30:37	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0c4574…
04-12 09:13:45	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x275876…
04-11 20:56:19	Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x884b43…
04-11 14:34:57	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9c3b8…
04-11 10:53:07	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcaac46…
04-11 09:09:33	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4d78a…
04-11 05:05:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5cf330…
04-06 12:30:11	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2ed22…
04-06 00:09:49	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x2c3615…
04-05 21:15:35	will the bank of new zealand increase the official cash rate after the april decision	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf08c3…
03-29 14:44:44	will xai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7438be…
03-27 21:24:43	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdac30d…
03-27 15:34:01	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbdbad…
03-27 09:48:37	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5382a7…
03-27 04:16:19	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb80a70…
03-26 23:25:03	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0e766…
03-26 22:14:37	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x782965…
03-26 19:30:59	meta above 720 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf15b07…
03-26 12:36:05	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x36c37c…
03-26 10:26:07	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6edde…
03-26 09:00:09	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7cc750…
03-25 20:04:29	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcad854…
03-25 17:53:03	will bnb reach 800 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde1e30…
03-25 17:21:19	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x16ac4d…
03-25 09:03:27	googl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1573e5…
03-25 06:36:55	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc63e3…
03-24 20:29:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x630223…
03-24 17:17:05	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f671e…
03-23 22:38:19	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1910d6…
03-23 15:29:59	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca368b…
03-23 13:08:23	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x469704…
03-22 00:23:43	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc8906…
03-21 13:59:25	msft above 465 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9c905c…
03-21 13:36:51	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5e7f0…
03-12 00:39:53	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c7b6b…
03-11 13:57:19	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5aad4…
03-11 12:21:01	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35f068…
03-10 06:49:39	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6518fb…
03-10 00:49:03	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xf726d4…
03-09 02:21:39	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5bf1d…
03-09 00:12:53	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x92ecf5…
03-08 10:25:27	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa433e4…
03-08 09:51:21	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19ed75…
03-08 05:48:13	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbc7cff…
03-08 03:26:21	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5dcd5b…
03-06 15:50:35	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x52a9f9…
03-06 07:08:05	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdcc264…
03-06 06:36:57	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa585f6…
03-06 01:33:13	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d830b…
03-05 19:48:35	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8dfa34…
03-05 04:59:17	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4ebfcc…
03-04 07:46:31	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x59ad32…
03-04 07:37:01	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3192d3…
02-23 19:06:14	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x20ec11…
02-23 10:27:18	will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x430a5d…
02-23 08:28:06	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4755b3…
02-21 23:29:20	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bc563…
02-21 22:40:42	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x780ecc…
02-21 01:25:10	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x04367f…
02-11 12:49:57	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb58aee…
02-09 00:56:31	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9e5ea3…
02-01 12:37:16	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9dfd11…
01-24 03:42:12	will solana reach 180 in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa06044…
01-23 01:15:18	si above 65 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xafaeb8…
01-22 02:47:08	msft above 555 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x987351…
01-19 19:57:02	nvda above 230 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa0da48…
01-16 21:15:40	gc hit 3000 low jan 2026 687 416 415 372	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xab4111…
01-15 08:00:16	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40655f…
01-13 13:11:41	tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcbf840…