Thorough-Skeleton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$142

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 46% $-30

Other

15% 0% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$11	637	+637	open	—	05-14 18:45
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$7	96	+96	open	—	05-14 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$6	9	+9	Down	$-6	05-11 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	2	$5	556	+556	No	$-5	05-11 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-14 18:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	1	$4	10	+10	No	$-4	05-11 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-14 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	45	+45	Down	$-4	05-11 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Up	$-4	05-11 17:58
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-14 18:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	1	$4	2,000	+2,000	No	$-4	05-09 22:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	1	$3	1,500	+1,500	No	$-3	05-11 17:29
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?	1	$3	308	+308	open	—	05-11 17:14
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	1	$3	352	+352	open	—	05-11 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 18:22
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$2	8	+8	Up	$-2	05-11 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$2	12	+12	Up	$-2	05-11 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-14 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	$-2	05-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	102	+102	Up	$-2	05-11 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$2	9	+9	Up	+$7	05-11 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 18:16
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 18:11
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	14	+14	open	—	05-14 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:10:58	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	96	7¢	$7	0x47192e…
05-14 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8959d8…
05-14 18:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x53cdd2…
05-14 18:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf02d7f…
05-14 18:47:05	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc4be45…
05-14 18:46:38	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9411ff…
05-14 18:45:46	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	576	2¢	$10	0xe30821…
05-14 18:37:59	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xc5b344…
05-14 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaec1c7…
05-14 18:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfa49aa…
05-14 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa6f092…
05-14 18:18:14	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x597eeb…
05-14 18:17:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x51e122…
05-14 18:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x56c2da…
05-14 18:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x291902…
05-14 18:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x50273f…
05-14 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe1e477…
05-14 18:11:21	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x68a5e0…
05-14 18:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x97cc6d…
05-14 17:58:47	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a4705…
05-14 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcad1bd…
05-14 17:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86c922…
05-14 17:51:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdb71ca…
05-14 17:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb696d…
05-14 11:38:02	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xfd1d36…
05-14 11:31:18	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x51bed1…
05-14 11:29:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x376d84…
05-14 11:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8e1def…
05-14 11:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbd9481…
05-14 11:14:23	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8834b8…
05-14 11:13:41	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa35b39…
05-14 11:13:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x24d387…
05-13 10:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x23cf9a…
05-13 09:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x317e25…
05-13 09:50:46	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x573fbd…
05-13 09:49:00	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x84053d…
05-13 09:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7f0ab1…
05-11 21:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc9a037…
05-11 21:28:26	Will "Algorithm" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb94332…
05-11 21:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9297e7…
05-11 21:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x24c700…
05-11 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0166d3…
05-11 20:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcb04cb…
05-11 19:46:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf25381…
05-11 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc2595a…
05-11 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6df0a4…
05-11 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9127e5…
05-11 19:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf61257…
05-11 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x320dbe…
05-11 19:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd7202a…
05-11 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd084f4…
05-11 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x135cdb…
05-11 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8fac13…
05-11 19:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x58c8af…
05-11 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd968f…
05-11 18:53:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4017a4…
05-11 18:48:22	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x684932…
05-11 18:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1101cd…
05-11 18:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf61540…
05-11 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x57f9fd…
05-11 18:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb283d7…
05-11 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd96be4…
05-11 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9e3980…
05-11 18:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3d0742…
05-11 18:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8ba489…
05-11 18:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0e0d26…
05-11 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x092cb7…
05-11 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x21ce88…
05-11 17:50:56	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5fe579…
05-11 17:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2138c2…
05-11 17:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4ac36a…
05-11 17:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5e0aba…
05-11 17:31:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x210304…
05-11 17:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x606f6e…
05-11 17:29:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	223	1¢	$2	0x155b55…
05-11 17:29:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x43870f…
05-11 17:14:24	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	352	1¢	$3	0x2294a8…
05-11 17:14:08	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$3	0x63f2e4…
05-09 22:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x150f41…