Upset-Hybridization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$872

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-26 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 75% $-9

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	4	$80	46	46	+0	open	—	05-21 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$78	42	42	+0	open	—	05-22 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	3	$24	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$20	22	9	+13	Down	$-10	05-11 21:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$12	21	6	+15	open	—	05-22 21:24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	05-21 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$8	3	11	-8	open	—	05-21 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:06:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5619de…
05-24 18:55:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x38b5a7…
05-24 13:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x56a759…
05-24 13:21:46	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Hashiras	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x130da7…
05-24 11:00:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa95bbf…
05-24 08:03:22	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Hashiras	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6f19a2…
05-23 22:54:18	Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs	Galorys	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55ef0b…
05-23 21:02:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb962a1…
05-23 20:15:50	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3943f…
05-23 15:46:10	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8a67b1…
05-23 15:44:25	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x911c55…
05-23 15:42:41	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc1bdf0…
05-23 12:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2becd…
05-23 12:49:32	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9e187f…
05-23 12:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf71209…
05-23 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x314cf8…
05-23 12:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a1894…
05-23 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xca1121…
05-23 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x96ed1a…
05-23 12:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbcb03a…
05-23 12:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x208b2c…
05-23 12:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x18899c…
05-22 21:57:51	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs	largadosypelados	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xd79f4f…
05-22 21:49:02	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs	Yawara Esports	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x83ae99…
05-22 21:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6906f7…
05-22 21:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xfd78cd…
05-22 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe8a6ca…
05-22 21:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb211c…
05-22 21:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb78896…
05-22 21:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xe7058a…
05-22 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1f2b22…
05-22 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb3694e…
05-22 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xa9cbb7…
05-22 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x1b3576…
05-22 20:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x051803…
05-22 20:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7e3983…
05-22 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x9ee487…
05-22 20:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xfdb324…
05-22 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5e0a64…
05-22 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x97135e…
05-22 19:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x34a233…
05-22 19:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x40a45e…
05-22 19:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x60b194…
05-22 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbe1e10…
05-22 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7f9ec4…
05-22 19:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc5875c…
05-22 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x795360…
05-22 15:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc73121…
05-22 15:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x291e32…
05-22 15:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x7b3630…
05-22 15:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa0c20b…
05-22 15:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd68017…
05-22 15:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc509b7…
05-22 15:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x57c394…
05-22 15:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x15b4e4…
05-22 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xfbf785…
05-22 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xf57e0b…
05-22 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x4669e2…
05-22 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x090f7b…
05-22 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x99a4e0…
05-22 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa4b729…
05-22 15:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6ad8df…
05-22 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xcf4c65…
05-22 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x16ceef…
05-22 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1a58b6…
05-22 14:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x23dc2a…
05-22 14:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6b91e7…
05-22 14:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0e4fad…
05-22 14:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x349f7e…
05-22 14:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8b00ee…
05-22 14:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb59b8d…
05-22 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x0fa735…
05-22 13:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5f2d31…
05-22 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf79d71…
05-22 13:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xa127cf…
05-22 13:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x23224a…
05-22 13:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x248121…
05-22 13:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xfb7bee…
05-22 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe0a53f…
05-22 13:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1f224c…
05-22 13:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x03e39c…
05-22 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x79aa4c…
05-22 12:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x6be58c…
05-22 12:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xc6b64e…
05-22 11:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf561ae…
05-22 11:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x93d757…
05-21 22:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd403c3…
05-21 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xbd4ef2…
05-21 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc989e0…
05-21 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5ee621…
05-21 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3ac4bf…
05-21 18:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb505c0…
05-21 18:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xacb8ff…
05-21 18:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x567fa2…
05-21 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x98d752…
05-21 18:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x60e8b4…
05-21 18:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3f1bf2…
05-21 18:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x61b6b5…
05-21 17:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xba7fee…
05-21 17:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa20057…