Light-Appropriation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$252

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-07 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 67% +$6

Other

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 69k on april 5	1	$42	44	0	+44	open	—	04-05 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-24 07:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-26 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 08:05
bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	03-29 09:31
bitcoin up or down on february 6	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-06 11:13
will abstract launch a token by december 31 2027	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	07-07 06:59
bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-28 07:58
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-27 11:03
solana up or down on february 7	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 08:18
btc updown 4h 1769504400	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	01-27 09:31
bitcoin up or down on march 26 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-26 07:49
ethereum up or down on february 8	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-07 17:01
xrp up or down on february 8	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-07 07:56
ethereum up or down on february 5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-04 19:01
xrp up or down on february 5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-04 19:03
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-07 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 17:36
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-29 06:11
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-29 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	1	$4	11	0	+11	Down	$-4	05-07 08:25
solana up or down on february 5	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	02-04 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 07:04
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$3	30	0	+30	open	—	02-18 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	$-3	05-11 09:10
bitcoin up or down on february 7	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	02-07 07:54
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	01-16 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 06:59:58	will abstract launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x1ba69d…
05-11 09:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xab3071…
05-10 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x485383…
05-07 17:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85f787…
05-07 08:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x0b2637…
05-06 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xbb8e1b…
05-06 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9c5c13…
05-05 10:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1170a7…
05-04 07:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xff110d…
04-30 08:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xa4bbd0…
04-30 08:04:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2c32a2…
04-05 07:37:13	will bitcoin reach 69k on april 5	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x861a6c…
03-29 09:31:28	bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x0e575f…
03-28 07:58:05	bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xcde97b…
03-27 11:03:03	bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd4c78b…
03-26 07:49:21	bitcoin up or down on march 26 2026	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x56f260…
03-26 07:47:13	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x4c0417…
03-26 07:47:01	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a9d12…
03-24 07:08:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x584271…
03-24 07:08:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xa2728f…
03-22 07:44:45	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x8cce3f…
02-18 06:27:10	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3789f3…
02-18 06:24:32	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x77b4a0…
02-08 10:25:39	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb7f6a8…
02-07 17:01:01	ethereum up or down on february 8	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfc0dc1…
02-07 07:56:51	xrp up or down on february 8	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4ab5d1…
02-07 07:56:27	xrp up or down on february 7	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0180d2…
02-07 07:55:15	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xca4fdb…
02-07 07:54:55	bitcoin up or down on february 7	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x3a2dd7…
02-06 11:13:37	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6b1bc3…
02-06 08:18:09	solana up or down on february 7	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd9b0df…
02-06 08:17:29	ethereum up or down on february 7	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6ec286…
02-06 08:17:13	ethereum up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xad9063…
02-06 08:16:03	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x677532…
02-04 19:03:55	solana up or down on february 5	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x833719…
02-04 19:03:03	xrp up or down on february 5	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x972fe9…
02-04 19:01:49	ethereum up or down on february 5	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcfdbdc…
01-29 06:11:02	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaaa221…
01-29 06:10:06	spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa3969c…
01-27 09:31:21	btc updown 4h 1769504400	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb6e9a9…
01-24 20:58:52	ethereum up or down on january 24	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7ac901…
01-24 10:13:24	solana up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1ae00…
01-24 10:13:16	xrp up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa58000…
01-24 10:13:02	ethereum up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xce56e9…
01-24 10:12:48	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x085879…
01-22 09:11:06	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe792ff…
01-22 09:10:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x07e772…
01-22 09:10:30	trump x greenland deal signed by january 31	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3e2b38…
01-22 09:10:10	trump x greenland deal signed by january 31	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x33b26d…
01-22 09:09:46	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xdc8664…
01-22 09:09:36	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x5f957e…
01-20 06:59:44	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3ef535…
01-20 06:40:56	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7e3524…
01-19 08:35:04	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xaf2b3b…
01-18 08:43:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbe4e0b…
01-18 08:42:28	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2d007b…
01-18 08:42:04	bitcoin up or down on january 18	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe1ab95…
01-18 08:39:14	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2f243a…
01-16 19:05:30	bitcoin above 96k on january 17	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x14e676…
01-16 19:02:00	ethereum up or down on january 17	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcbd524…
01-16 18:59:08	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4fca09…
01-16 18:52:40	nhl sj det 2026 01 16	Red Wings	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x570b09…
01-16 18:51:30	nfl buf den 2026 01 17	Broncos	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf16d40…