Original-Worm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-07 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-39

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$67	95	45	+50	Up	$-13	05-04 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$67	84	47	+37	Up	$-3	05-04 23:20
btc updown 5m 1776997500	10	$50	54	40	+14	open	—	04-24 02:30
btc updown 5m 1777039500	7	$49	67	56	+11	open	—	04-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$48	55	55	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 22:59
btc updown 5m 1777040100	7	$47	43	41	+2	open	—	04-24 14:19
btc updown 5m 1776990600	8	$41	50	8	+42	open	—	04-24 00:34
btc updown 5m 1777038900	5	$34	38	36	+2	open	—	04-24 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776989700	5	$32	46	38	+8	open	—	04-24 00:19
btc updown 5m 1777038000	5	$28	37	24	+12	open	—	04-24 13:41
btc updown 5m 1776996600	6	$28	36	34	+2	open	—	04-24 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$28	35	19	+17	Down	$-2	05-04 23:08
btc updown 5m 1777041600	2	$27	54	0	+54	open	—	04-24 14:44
btc updown 5m 1777038300	5	$27	31	26	+4	open	—	04-24 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	10	$24	32	30	+2	Up	+$2	05-07 01:09
btc updown 5m 1777039800	5	$23	31	23	+9	open	—	04-24 14:13
btc updown 5m 1777037700	4	$23	25	24	+1	open	—	04-24 13:36
btc updown 5m 1776998400	4	$21	19	19	+1	open	—	04-24 02:42
btc updown 5m 1777036200	5	$21	23	17	+6	open	—	04-24 13:14
btc updown 5m 1776990900	4	$21	28	9	+20	open	—	04-24 00:39
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	01-09 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776996000	2	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	04-24 02:02
btc updown 5m 1777040400	3	$16	22	10	+11	open	—	04-24 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$15	56	0	+56	Down	$-15	05-04 23:21
btc updown 5m 1777041000	3	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	04-24 14:31
btc updown 5m 1776996900	3	$15	22	13	+8	open	—	04-24 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$14	15	12	+3	Up	+$3	05-05 23:49
btc updown 5m 1776992100	8	$14	36	13	+23	open	—	04-24 00:59
btc updown 5m 1776832500	4	$14	16	3	+13	open	—	04-22 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 23:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xafc07a…
05-07 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7c3fa6…
05-07 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5fb45e…
05-07 01:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd46e49…
05-07 01:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x6e1f75…
05-07 01:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x092ef5…
05-07 01:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe50d5a…
05-07 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26a7e9…
05-07 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$6	0x8e6a51…
05-07 01:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xc41fc7…
05-07 01:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaa64f4…
05-07 01:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x0aae1d…
05-07 01:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf5fc15…
05-07 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xab7c43…
05-07 01:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x909f33…
05-07 01:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xd2eab6…
05-07 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4f01c6…
05-05 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b9ab8…
05-05 23:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xba777a…
05-05 23:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9ce7e2…
05-05 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb88703…
05-05 23:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0ff907…
05-05 23:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x34fd8d…
05-05 23:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7f31ca…
05-05 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7eaf7c…
05-05 23:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xc70ffd…
05-05 23:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1fd9a7…
05-05 23:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xf3b7ed…
05-05 23:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x134e25…
05-05 23:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1f14b0…
05-05 23:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x264054…
05-05 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xe7cefa…
05-05 23:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc687ed…
05-05 23:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c4ac9…
05-05 23:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b4233…
05-05 23:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xfdf351…
05-05 23:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa22f71…
05-05 23:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xd9cf96…
05-05 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x430a3d…
05-05 23:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x583564…
05-05 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8c77a6…
05-05 23:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xb618af…
05-05 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x50633d…
05-05 23:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x94fbae…
05-05 23:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbef00c…
05-05 23:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe0c573…
05-05 23:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb5cc51…
05-05 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x289e57…
05-04 23:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x48e337…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x4e469f…
05-04 23:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x452490…
05-04 23:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	33	70¢	$23	0xc1f8c2…
05-04 23:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4172a4…
05-04 23:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x196cd7…
05-04 23:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xa510b3…
05-04 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x2dd40b…
05-04 23:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9e2bce…
05-04 23:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0a9250…
05-04 23:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdc3f50…
05-04 23:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x995fbc…
05-04 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x4dc989…
05-04 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x811c48…
05-04 23:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x3686d1…
05-04 23:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0b8b2d…
05-04 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb4b8a7…
05-04 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b40d9…
05-04 23:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xed5e0d…
05-04 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x24d0da…
05-04 23:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcd467b…
05-04 23:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbd7ea…
05-04 23:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xca2b65…
05-04 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xfdf221…
05-04 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5bad1c…
05-04 22:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xf937af…
05-04 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3e3015…
05-04 22:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	44¢	$6	0xa59287…
05-04 22:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x81e5b3…
05-04 22:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xdc175e…
05-04 22:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x2135a0…
05-04 22:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x70b2a6…
05-04 22:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb877ac…
05-04 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xed15c3…
04-24 14:44:40	btc updown 5m 1777041600	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x8863a4…
04-24 14:40:14	btc updown 5m 1777041600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb4572c…
04-24 14:35:28	btc updown 5m 1777041300	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3ac3c0…
04-24 14:31:24	btc updown 5m 1777041000	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x226442…
04-24 14:31:02	btc updown 5m 1777041000	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x90c7e2…
04-24 14:30:30	btc updown 5m 1777041000	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4fdd4d…
04-24 14:25:34	btc updown 5m 1777040700	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5766b0…
04-24 14:25:18	btc updown 5m 1777040700	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfec9f2…
04-24 14:21:10	btc updown 5m 1777040400	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4b8140…
04-24 14:21:00	btc updown 5m 1777040400	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8a5ea4…
04-24 14:20:42	btc updown 5m 1777040400	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2b9893…
04-24 14:19:22	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xe69368…
04-24 14:18:52	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5d8997…
04-24 14:18:00	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0cf30f…
04-24 14:17:28	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xcc18a0…
04-24 14:15:30	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9bffb8…
04-24 14:15:24	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xe6a40c…
04-24 14:15:12	btc updown 5m 1777040100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3aeabb…