Inferior-Harm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-31 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

40% — —

Politics

38% 100% +$1

Other

22% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	8	$2.1K	1,093	1,093	+0	open	—	03-19 01:16
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	3	$1.9K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	03-18 06:46
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$392	210	210	+0	open	—	03-19 00:41
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	4	$378	269	269	+0	open	—	03-18 20:12
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$376	206	206	+0	open	—	03-18 22:29
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$364	192	192	+0	open	—	03-18 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$362	195	195	+0	open	—	03-18 21:26
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	2	$359	188	188	+0	open	—	03-19 00:11
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$305	156	156	+0	No	+$1	03-18 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	4	$299	155	155	+0	open	—	03-18 15:56
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$127	1,953	1,953	+0	open	—	03-18 15:08
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	5	$75	601	601	+0	open	—	03-18 23:20
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	3	$68	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	03-18 11:54
tsla close above 400 on march 17 2026	1	$33	108	0	+108	open	—	03-17 14:28
nba det was 2026 03 17	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	03-17 15:44
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$18	195	195	+0	open	—	03-18 16:12
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 5.5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	05-31 13:55
Go Ahead Eagles vs. PSV: O/U 1.5	1	$15	16	0	+16	Over	+$1	05-10 07:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	05-18 15:32
nba det was 2026 03 17 1h moneyline	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	3	$12	125	125	+0	open	—	03-18 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:55:14	CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x9ef734…
05-18 15:32:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x4ef6a6…
05-10 07:58:57	Go Ahead Eagles vs. PSV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x8e6f8f…
03-19 01:16:01	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	186	96¢	$179	0x9b03bc…
03-19 01:06:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xc5f0ff…
03-19 01:06:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xc09be9…
03-19 01:06:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x3731bb…
03-19 00:41:11	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	91	93¢	$85	0x99f3d0…
03-19 00:41:09	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	119	93¢	$111	0x28c9d7…
03-19 00:32:59	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	210	93¢	$196	0x55cc3b…
03-19 00:11:45	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	No	SELL	188	96¢	$180	0xd9fbbb…
03-19 00:01:47	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	No	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0x655ff0…
03-18 23:20:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	332	5¢	$17	0x50dae2…
03-18 23:13:29	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa6bdd7…
03-18 23:13:29	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	315	6¢	$19	0x319949…
03-18 23:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x67246a…
03-18 23:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x067339…
03-18 22:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	5¢	$6	0x49a082…
03-18 22:29:15	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	206	91¢	$188	0xd51a5b…
03-18 22:23:43	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	206	91¢	$188	0x919b28…
03-18 21:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	195	93¢	$182	0x2c6754…
03-18 21:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	195	92¢	$180	0x728ee8…
03-18 20:55:25	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	192	95¢	$182	0x3528b1…
03-18 20:48:59	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x5a1175…
03-18 20:12:43	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	98¢	$188	0xdc211d…
03-18 20:02:39	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0x08f5fc…
03-18 19:57:13	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	269	7¢	$19	0xdfd9dc…
03-18 19:46:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0x9c15b3…
03-18 16:45:57	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x6d51ce…
03-18 16:36:59	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x6cb897…
03-18 16:30:43	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xb33d0a…
03-18 16:30:43	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x762769…
03-18 16:30:43	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x27307d…
03-18 16:20:53	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$152	0xe22062…
03-18 16:12:55	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xc5a175…
03-18 16:12:55	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	177	5¢	$8	0x0f08d2…
03-18 16:05:13	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$9	0xc96a5c…
03-18 15:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x03ad67…
03-18 15:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0xb833ed…
03-18 15:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xbbaf1f…
03-18 15:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	141	96¢	$136	0x4a1c5f…
03-18 15:08:15	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0x70d471…
03-18 15:08:15	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,371	3¢	$45	0x670b64…
03-18 15:08:15	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	428	3¢	$14	0x544cdb…
03-18 14:59:11	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,953	3¢	$62	0x2f5d85…
03-18 14:51:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	507	95¢	$481	0x846a17…
03-18 14:51:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$379	0x770781…
03-18 14:43:55	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	640	94¢	$605	0xb9f2c3…
03-18 14:43:55	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	267	94¢	$252	0x996949…
03-18 11:54:47	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	852	3¢	$26	0xbeb1ac…
03-18 11:54:47	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	257	3¢	$8	0x58137e…
03-18 11:47:01	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	1,109	3¢	$34	0x4f8a30…
03-18 06:46:29	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,005	96¢	$960	0xe6a034…
03-18 06:39:45	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	223	96¢	$213	0xdf9dc7…
03-18 06:39:45	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	782	96¢	$747	0x7b224c…
03-17 16:01:47	nba det was 2026 03 17 1h moneyline	Pistons	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x1fe771…
03-17 15:44:07	nba det was 2026 03 17	Pistons	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x95be1c…
03-17 14:28:29	tsla close above 400 on march 17 2026	Yes	BUY	108	31¢	$33	0xa2d591…