Heavy-Counsel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$783

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-08 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% $-8

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$29	30	30	+0	Down	$-3	05-06 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$29	35	35	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$26	38	26	+13	Up	$-4	05-06 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$26	57	57	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$25	29	29	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-30 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$24	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$24	45	40	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$23	17	12	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$21	17	11	+6	open	—	05-03 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$17	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$17	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$15	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$15	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$12	65	11	+54	Down	$-2	05-06 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$12	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$12	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Up	$-1	05-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$10	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:54:54	atp cilic shapova 2026 06 08	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x730a4c…
06-08 11:36:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xeddb08…
05-15 08:40:17	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1c45c9…
05-13 06:12:38	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb9f61d…
05-12 06:11:06	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x04166f…
05-11 13:35:44	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x263055…
05-10 11:13:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x26531a…
05-07 06:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x70e6b2…
05-07 06:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x98e6a0…
05-07 06:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x44dcd6…
05-07 06:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x41a2b5…
05-07 06:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c298c…
05-07 06:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x8d90c5…
05-07 06:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8ce8e5…
05-07 06:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x17a93c…
05-07 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x01cbf1…
05-07 06:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xf75417…
05-07 06:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x59014d…
05-07 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa05efc…
05-07 06:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	44	22¢	$10	0x4597cc…
05-07 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xab452a…
05-06 18:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x3e4a1c…
05-06 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2b6f36…
05-06 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x4aac93…
05-06 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf66f74…
05-06 18:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x194b28…
05-06 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x294b17…
05-06 18:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0xcf87d7…
05-06 18:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xd2a0fc…
05-06 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x22bc34…
05-06 18:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xeb1cd9…
05-06 14:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xa9f299…
05-06 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x8d8180…
05-06 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0xfed9e4…
05-06 13:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x54e5d7…
05-06 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xc41969…
05-06 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x690fb3…
05-06 13:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf4b270…
05-06 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0x39a9b8…
05-06 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc3e7c0…
05-06 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x83bce4…
05-06 13:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa55315…
05-06 13:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x71c5f4…
05-06 13:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x698655…
05-06 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x4df4e7…
05-06 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xba3a4e…
05-06 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x72e218…
05-06 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x695323…
05-06 12:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xc17a63…
05-06 12:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x18ab97…
05-06 12:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xb9dfe8…
05-06 12:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x30481a…
05-06 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xbc2673…
05-06 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x771473…
05-06 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0xfbd075…
05-06 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xda806b…
05-06 12:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7a0904…
05-06 12:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xc32968…
05-06 12:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0f7b3f…
05-06 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xa7c0de…
05-06 12:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2519a0…
05-06 12:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc18529…
05-06 12:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a7972…
05-06 12:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xe9791f…
05-06 12:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x17d6bd…
05-06 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x119401…
05-06 12:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe47fad…
05-06 12:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0xbc37ff…
05-06 12:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7ff4a8…
05-06 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x514d44…
05-06 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf0d781…
05-06 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xd1e1aa…
05-06 12:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe108d5…
05-06 12:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x190b26…
05-06 12:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x511ca5…
05-06 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x74cb3b…
05-06 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x13a160…
05-06 10:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x74cab5…
05-06 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x0a3dc0…
05-06 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf39af4…
05-06 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xa90bdd…
05-06 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x90b0e0…
05-06 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xe40742…
05-06 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x54d359…
05-06 09:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x605db2…
05-06 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa8f61a…
05-06 09:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xafe823…
05-06 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x23ee96…
05-06 09:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x50d730…
05-06 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc249ff…
05-06 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7243d2…
05-06 09:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x1aaf61…
05-06 09:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x323ae3…
05-06 08:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x8e8992…
05-06 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf2b5fa…
05-06 08:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf2373f…
05-06 08:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x947560…
05-06 08:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x307f6a…
05-05 19:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x3bb829…
05-05 19:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe2a084…