Wiggly-Consequence-Uplift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$476

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-23 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% $-44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$75	45	45	+0	open	—	05-02 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$50	111	0	+111	Up	$-50	05-07 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$26	40	40	+0	Down	$-14	05-06 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-23 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 20:46
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 15:52
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-07 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 09:53
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 09:54
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 18:38
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-07 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	+$10	05-07 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 14:35
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-07 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 05:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbcd263…
05-20 10:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb57533…
05-20 09:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbdfd9…
05-07 11:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa7c345…
05-07 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x5a01b4…
05-07 11:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc6e0c2…
05-07 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc6851d…
05-07 11:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3f84d1…
05-07 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfc67df…
05-07 11:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x907555…
05-07 11:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xec3c64…
05-07 11:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x1a107f…
05-07 11:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa6c014…
05-07 11:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfe92ab…
05-07 10:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xf6c2f1…
05-07 10:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1264c0…
05-07 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfe0560…
05-07 10:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x08ccde…
05-07 10:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0200bf…
05-07 10:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc12aea…
05-06 02:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x555e43…
05-06 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa2ae66…
05-06 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xa0848d…
05-06 00:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x49cb58…
05-06 00:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x4c7068…
05-06 00:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9b2783…
05-06 00:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2e5c67…
05-06 00:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xf532f1…
05-06 00:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ba869…
05-05 14:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c4593…
05-05 14:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x116baf…
05-05 14:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x60a2b7…
05-04 09:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x63df0b…
05-04 09:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x8abc3d…
05-04 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xdf4309…
05-03 18:38:54	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd440f…
05-03 17:14:10	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc07360…
05-03 16:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x3628bb…
05-03 16:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6d3c86…
05-03 16:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x893470…
05-03 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x91f3cc…
05-03 16:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc1454e…
05-03 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8dbf6f…
05-03 15:52:02	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x737aaa…
05-03 15:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xaaf14f…
05-03 15:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x6d3751…
05-03 15:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3f58a5…
05-03 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x3ace10…
05-03 14:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9240d5…
05-03 12:02:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x0c1284…
05-03 12:00:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x946f51…
05-03 11:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x035326…
05-03 07:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2c281d…
05-03 07:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4783d2…
05-03 07:22:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x9feaeb…
05-03 07:21:20	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x17f7f5…
05-03 07:20:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcc4a0e…
05-03 07:20:18	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1ccbe7…
05-02 21:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e35a2…
05-02 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xdc3fc6…
05-02 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xee86da…
05-02 13:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe046f3…
05-02 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf0e5d9…
05-01 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x7f471a…
05-01 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0ffb25…
05-01 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x9c03c5…
05-01 15:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ddf34…
05-01 08:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xaeda1d…
04-30 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x41b2c9…
04-30 20:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x969eb4…