Musty-Case — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-15 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

63% 33% $-3

Crypto

25% 0% $-12

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-131	$-6	4¢	$-6	+$0	06-15 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$12	21	0	+21	Knicks	+$2	05-07 00:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$6	0	131	-131	open	—	06-15 05:03
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	1	$5	9	0	+9	Miami Marlins	+$4	05-07 20:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Down	$-5	05-07 00:22
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	9	0	+9	Colorado Rockies	$-5	05-07 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Down	$-5	05-07 00:18
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$4	3	3	+0	Cleveland Guardians	$-0	05-07 00:31
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$3	5	0	+5	San Francisco Giants	$-3	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 00:32
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$1	2	0	+2	Philadelphia Phillies	$-1	05-07 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 05:03:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	4¢	$6	0x7b0879…
05-07 20:01:07	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd224a8…
05-07 16:22:20	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf4a1c2…
05-07 00:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x74c12f…
05-07 00:31:28	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb08316…
05-07 00:31:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x657e0a…
05-07 00:29:42	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xff1eaa…
05-07 00:28:47	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2e5c62…
05-07 00:24:42	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa257f…
05-07 00:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3ad2d…
05-07 00:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x30b69b…
05-07 00:21:35	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe43134…
05-07 00:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc4057c…
05-05 01:09:50	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x363f6b…