Popular-Guilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

163

Trades

4,454

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-28 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770267600	26	$259	300	199	+101	open	—	02-05 05:13
btc updown 5m 1772192100	47	$111	2,030	0	+2,030	open	—	02-27 11:37
btc updown 15m 1770265800	10	$108	120	120	+0	open	—	02-05 04:39
btc updown 15m 1770264000	8	$93	160	40	+120	open	—	02-05 04:13
btc updown 15m 1770258600	5	$71	80	0	+80	open	—	02-05 02:40
btc updown 15m 1770260400	3	$69	90	0	+90	open	—	02-05 03:11
btc updown 15m 1770228000	7	$66	80	30	+50	open	—	02-04 18:12
btc updown 15m 1770264900	8	$59	80	80	+0	open	—	02-05 04:23
btc updown 5m 1772196000	10	$52	45	44	+1	open	—	02-27 12:41
btc updown 15m 1770255000	3	$51	60	30	+30	open	—	02-05 01:41
btc updown 15m 1770229800	4	$43	60	30	+30	open	—	02-04 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	13	$43	36	36	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 12:34
btc updown 5m 1772193000	7	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	02-27 11:52
btc updown 15m 1770207300	4	$41	40	30	+10	open	—	02-04 12:29
btc updown 15m 1770266700	5	$40	100	0	+100	open	—	02-05 04:47
btc updown 5m 1775226600	23	$39	100	0	+100	open	—	04-03 14:35
btc updown 15m 1770203700	8	$38	80	20	+60	open	—	02-04 11:29
btc updown 5m 1774237500	5	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	03-23 03:46
btc updown 5m 1774233900	9	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	03-23 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	11	$35	36	24	+12	Up	+$4	05-06 10:44
btc updown 5m 1772192700	8	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	02-27 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	8	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	9	$32	30	24	+6	open	—	04-30 17:05
btc updown 15m 1770271200	6	$32	35	30	+5	open	—	02-05 06:14
btc updown 15m 1770261300	7	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	02-05 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	10	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 02:13
btc updown 5m 1776815400	8	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	04-21 23:54
btc updown 5m 1773395400	5	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-13 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 14:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x846363…
05-28 14:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x10f898…
05-28 14:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x1b7cd0…
05-28 14:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x09bf2c…
05-28 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xdadeaf…
05-28 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa1f17d…
05-28 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x2dfdd5…
05-28 14:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa6a27f…
05-28 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x4e9a57…
05-28 14:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe091a3…
05-28 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf38ae8…
05-28 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x6c37e0…
05-28 14:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x9a4c8c…
05-28 13:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x6180a9…
05-28 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x3876f1…
05-27 10:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x35bb69…
05-27 10:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x58a0fb…
05-27 10:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xdd4e53…
05-27 10:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb0a374…
05-27 10:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x993382…
05-27 10:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x63ea06…
05-27 10:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xacf6ce…
05-27 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xbceef3…
05-27 10:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xc869ea…
05-27 04:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x9b74ea…
05-27 04:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf1f08f…
05-25 14:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x62c0d0…
05-25 14:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x097990…
05-25 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6ae538…
05-25 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x72261c…
05-25 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x46b848…
05-25 14:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xf83241…
05-25 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x5d9ea9…
05-25 14:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x204dcc…
05-25 13:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xcc4444…
05-25 13:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x1e4ae5…
05-25 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xdf7ee7…
05-25 13:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4a3ab4…
05-25 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7af013…
05-25 12:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7d8e27…
05-25 12:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x669747…
05-25 12:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x83e529…
05-25 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x564753…
05-25 12:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xf30c6b…
05-25 12:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x4719d1…
05-25 12:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x3af804…
05-25 12:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x1af0a5…
05-25 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x14d15a…
05-25 12:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x235455…
05-25 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6b1ca7…
05-25 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xe5a677…
05-25 12:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xdd17f1…
05-25 11:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa8b6cc…
05-25 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xde7345…
05-25 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6a3160…
05-25 11:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x32c210…
05-25 11:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x04e9ed…
05-25 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x998aef…
05-25 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x3bc328…
05-25 07:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe138fa…
05-25 07:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8066ca…
05-25 07:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xeed4eb…
05-25 07:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x9cadcf…
05-25 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x332968…
05-25 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2324e7…
05-25 07:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa148d2…
05-25 07:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0e4633…
05-25 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x13218c…
05-25 06:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x927311…
05-25 06:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0e02c5…
05-25 06:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4a5d20…
05-25 06:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbb46c5…
05-25 06:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x1d17bb…
05-25 06:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa29847…
05-25 06:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x20cbe7…
05-25 02:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xce5c27…
05-25 02:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7d8ae9…
05-24 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xe99cef…
05-24 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x0f43fb…
05-24 15:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4c2929…
05-24 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa7a876…
05-24 15:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xbcea79…
05-24 15:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf0aa1a…
05-24 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xf3b5d5…
05-24 07:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa6a98f…
05-24 06:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb327e7…
05-24 06:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xbabbac…
05-24 06:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x61ac3d…
05-24 06:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc5c75c…
05-24 06:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x28546c…
05-24 06:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xcadf32…
05-24 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x64d5da…
05-24 06:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa87e8c…
05-24 06:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x64fd54…
05-24 06:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x700684…
05-24 06:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xc0340b…
05-24 06:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x04e544…
05-24 06:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xef960b…
05-24 06:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc152ef…
05-24 06:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x910483…