Grumpy-Jazz — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$535

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-01 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

85% 100% +$21

Other

8% — —

Crypto

3% 50% $-5

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$217	243	63	+180	open	—	05-20 15:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$118	62	62	+0	open	—	04-29 16:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$43	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 12:42
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	1	$31	37	0	+37	open	—	04-26 08:56
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$26	46	0	+46	Yes	+$20	04-26 08:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$21	29	29	+0	No	+$1	05-04 17:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$19	123	0	+123	open	—	04-24 12:43
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	2	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 16:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	05-07 15:27
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	1	$7	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	$-6	05-09 12:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-28 08:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 09:00
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-01 15:53
Will Vitality go undefeated on maps at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	04-29 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 08:55
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	04-29 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 12:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:53:16	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd21f42…
05-21 07:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5812fa…
05-20 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc0e3f2…
05-20 15:23:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	79¢	$44	0x6b039d…
05-10 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x76bd30…
05-10 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9aa6f8…
05-10 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x67962e…
05-10 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x68c3f7…
05-10 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfc16c1…
05-09 12:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa2d4e4…
05-09 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0ab99d…
05-09 12:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd4c748…
05-09 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbbc70e…
05-07 15:27:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xe2172f…
05-05 12:16:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x411663…
05-04 17:07:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x14b8c4…
05-04 15:35:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfe3eac…
05-04 15:27:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4652c4…
05-04 14:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0x8e7457…
05-04 14:49:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x698464…
05-04 14:45:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x120cb2…
05-02 20:25:44	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xccb86e…
05-01 21:56:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc441ef…
04-29 18:17:14	Will Vitality go undefeated on maps at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6cf722…
04-29 18:11:58	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4c22d7…
04-29 16:00:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x69a3ee…
04-28 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb3326d…
04-28 19:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x093f3f…
04-28 08:36:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x28d677…
04-26 08:56:56	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0xbe5270…
04-26 08:48:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x993fa2…
04-26 08:24:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x69e800…
04-24 16:17:38	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xfbc6c8…
04-24 12:43:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x1ee52d…
04-24 12:42:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdd999d…
04-24 12:42:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x15be85…
04-24 12:35:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x182366…
04-22 13:37:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x085f53…
04-22 13:00:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x07e3e5…
04-22 12:49:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x94e031…
04-21 22:18:18	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xaf0417…