Pessimistic-Crumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-08 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

81% 57% +$17

Other

15% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	2	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 18:01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	3	$20	70	28	+42	open	—	05-02 18:32
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 18:00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 18:00
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$11	28	0	+28	Cavaliers	$-11	05-08 21:55
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	2	$10	22	0	+22	Knicks	+$12	05-08 13:26
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	2	$10	19	0	+19	Pistons	+$9	05-07 23:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$10	16	0	+16	Pistons	+$6	05-07 23:07
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$5	12	0	+12	Toronto Blue Jays	$-5	05-08 21:55
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$5	15	0	+15	Colorado Rockies	+$10	05-08 21:56
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	6	0	+6	Sean Strickland	$-5	05-08 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$4	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:39
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$2	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 16:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-08 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 21:56:18	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0dd208…
05-08 21:55:53	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe77ec8…
05-08 21:55:18	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x04c864…
05-08 13:26:16	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbbaeb9…
05-08 13:25:06	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x015ac5…
05-08 08:18:16	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6d8bf8…
05-08 08:14:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x078024…
05-07 23:07:21	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x62f9c6…
05-07 23:07:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x93aed7…
05-07 22:33:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd5ae8a…
05-07 22:33:10	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x91e3ce…
05-07 07:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb751a…
05-05 17:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xa22e7c…
05-05 17:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x89ae99…
05-05 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x041293…
05-03 16:19:40	Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xdf0297…
05-02 18:32:00	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0x9e560b…
05-02 18:01:18	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x9c59bd…
05-02 18:01:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x352502…
05-02 18:00:52	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xbdd627…
05-02 18:00:50	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x3c1254…
05-02 17:39:36	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7b4a36…
05-02 17:39:26	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4e649c…
05-02 17:38:12	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd55f79…
05-02 17:37:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4042c7…