Poised-Fat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$307

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-04 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 47% +$305

Other

19% 80% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down february 1 7am et	11	$404	246	217	+29	open	—	02-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$112	217	217	+0	open	—	05-04 14:11
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$100	51	50	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$0	05-12 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	05-01 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$95	172	72	+100	Down	+$13	05-12 17:40
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$79	101	101	+0	open	—	04-29 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$79	127	127	+0	open	—	04-28 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$70	55	55	+0	Down	+$20	05-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$60	788	0	+788	Up	$-60	05-11 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$56	69	69	+0	open	—	05-01 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	9	$56	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	$-56	05-14 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	7	$54	459	22	+437	Up	+$405	05-12 12:07
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$53	44	44	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$13	05-05 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$52	79	79	+0	open	—	05-03 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$50	92	50	+42	open	—	05-04 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$49	39	39	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$45	77	57	+20	open	—	05-03 13:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	02-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$42	56	56	+0	open	—	05-03 13:48
crint zaf are 2026 02 18	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-18 10:12
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	02-11 07:51
eth updown 5m 1776745500	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	04-21 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$35	26	26	+0	Down	+$15	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$35	37	37	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$32	0	47	-47	Up	+$32	05-12 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$29	32	21	+11	Up	$-1	05-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$29	114	83	+31	open	—	04-27 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$28	121	53	+68	open	—	05-03 17:12
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	4	$27	26	26	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$7	05-04 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 06:50:25	btc updown 5m 1780555800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x508a21…
05-28 13:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0a951b…
05-27 10:46:37	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x002def…
05-26 15:30:50	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0xfdb363…
05-26 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe6404a…
05-26 12:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d98fe…
05-26 12:50:31	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x59f34c…
05-26 12:50:20	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf2782d…
05-24 14:23:03	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x39573f…
05-24 13:40:21	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcff17f…
05-24 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9723cf…
05-24 06:45:29	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0af348…
05-22 17:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x95b5fe…
05-20 16:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5051e3…
05-20 16:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x123681…
05-18 06:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x781dac…
05-18 06:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x615c68…
05-18 06:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x64fb65…
05-18 05:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbed147…
05-18 05:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x18386b…
05-18 05:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2e4456…
05-18 05:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9dd915…
05-17 05:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x43dfca…
05-17 05:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xff63a1…
05-16 17:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x678287…
05-16 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x651b77…
05-16 03:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb38325…
05-16 03:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8364c7…
05-14 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa73322…
05-14 05:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x8a59c7…
05-14 05:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xef1341…
05-14 05:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x8448db…
05-14 05:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x3f9796…
05-14 05:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x0e717f…
05-14 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xd22764…
05-14 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xc267ac…
05-14 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb4ffd2…
05-14 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x8d7f5d…
05-14 05:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ece8e…
05-13 16:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x962bd7…
05-13 16:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfde333…
05-13 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8c9087…
05-13 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xac69da…
05-13 00:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x69883f…
05-13 00:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x936e27…
05-13 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37f5de…
05-12 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x349fb0…
05-12 17:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1f9c6c…
05-12 17:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x69e4a7…
05-12 17:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x287fb3…
05-12 17:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0x0000c4…
05-12 17:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x660bba…
05-12 17:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0x93a86e…
05-12 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6155aa…
05-12 17:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb21625…
05-12 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5c3b38…
05-12 17:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x41947a…
05-12 17:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe6f5ab…
05-12 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83fe45…
05-12 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb20649…
05-12 17:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	72	75¢	$54	0xd4ce1a…
05-12 17:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x07f33d…
05-12 17:31:53	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x186108…
05-12 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb84f9f…
05-12 17:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x1f90a6…
05-12 17:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x02ec31…
05-12 17:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x3919dc…
05-12 17:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa9cd74…
05-12 17:08:54	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x48300b…
05-12 13:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0x0dc93c…
05-12 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaded7c…
05-12 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32ade4…
05-12 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7c0d05…
05-12 12:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xabe1b1…
05-12 12:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0x20f17c…
05-12 12:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x0a0cd8…
05-12 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4569db…
05-12 12:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x385691…
05-12 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x95b204…
05-12 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa5498a…
05-12 12:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x774cf3…
05-12 12:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x25a0e9…
05-12 12:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x86bbcb…
05-12 12:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0x93f93c…
05-12 12:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x99e707…
05-12 12:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x021c53…
05-12 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc3e19c…
05-12 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x217e80…
05-12 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x80fbf4…
05-12 12:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x7a29da…
05-12 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x09434c…
05-12 12:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbfc455…
05-12 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x31f845…
05-11 13:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xba3cc5…
05-11 12:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xabdd36…
05-11 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xfd3adb…
05-11 12:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	664	3¢	$20	0x8a9604…
05-11 12:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xd08fd3…
05-11 12:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x37efc4…
05-11 12:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x817a9c…