Ready-Fratricide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$657

Open exposure

$2.37K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-08 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

31% 100% +$13

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes		+2,377	$2,372	100¢	$2.4K	$-5	06-08 21:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$2.4K	2,377	+2,377	open	—	06-08 21:14
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$2.4K	2,373	+2,373	open	—	06-05 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,364	+2,364	open	—	06-02 22:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$2.2K	2,295	+2,295	open	—	05-24 16:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2.2K	2,185	+2,185	open	—	05-21 18:52
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$2.1K	2,142	+2,142	Yes	+$6	05-02 16:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$2.1K	2,135	+2,135	open	—	04-29 21:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	25	$2.1K	2,133	+2,133	open	—	04-25 04:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2.1K	2,123	+2,123	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$2.1K	2,114	+2,114	open	—	04-17 16:09
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	1	$2.1K	2,112	+2,112	open	—	04-14 08:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2.1K	2,095	+2,095	open	—	04-09 18:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,093	+2,093	open	—	04-06 18:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$2.1K	2,085	+2,085	open	—	03-29 19:54
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	1	$2.1K	2,072	+2,072	open	—	03-26 07:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,066	+2,066	open	—	03-22 01:33
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	1	$2.0K	2,018	+2,018	open	—	03-17 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1.7K	1,671	+1,671	open	—	05-12 18:37
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$1.7K	1,666	+1,666	open	—	05-07 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$612	624	+624	open	—	05-27 06:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$489	493	+493	open	—	05-14 05:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$482	489	+489	No	+$6	05-08 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:14:45	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,377	100¢	$2,372	0xd6a7d2…
06-05 19:45:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2,373	100¢	$2,365	0x9ae470…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,364	99¢	$2,341	0x8f5537…
05-27 06:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x59edcd…
05-27 06:06:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	264	98¢	$258	0x9bc102…
05-27 06:06:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7c076c…
05-27 06:03:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x457809…
05-27 06:02:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	337	98¢	$330	0x2742f7…
05-24 16:06:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	848	95¢	$807	0xa15792…
05-24 16:06:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	208	95¢	$198	0x59a57d…
05-24 16:06:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	208	95¢	$198	0x0d04d5…
05-24 16:05:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb643f7…
05-24 16:05:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xef56ed…
05-24 16:05:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe8bae8…
05-24 16:04:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	968	95¢	$921	0x437477…
05-21 18:52:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,674	100¢	$1,672	0xed2d4e…
05-16 23:05:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	511	96¢	$492	0x658f07…
05-14 05:32:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	493	99¢	$489	0xbb9c4a…
05-12 18:37:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,671	100¢	$1,666	0x729bd4…
05-08 05:27:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	489	99¢	$482	0x37bbfa…
05-07 22:22:26	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x589840…
05-07 19:45:13	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x46d5f5…
05-07 18:23:51	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xccc4f2…
05-07 14:31:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a07cf…
05-07 14:30:55	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,298	0xeca6fa…
05-07 11:27:00	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d2b8f…
05-02 16:12:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,842	100¢	$1,836	0xedd9ce…
05-02 16:11:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x7d8477…
04-29 21:56:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,135	100¢	$2,133	0xca659a…
04-25 04:17:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x08c15f…
04-25 04:16:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4eaf07…
04-25 04:16:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f3715…
04-25 04:15:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa15c28…
04-25 04:13:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0x7e5cfa…
04-25 04:10:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x420163…
04-25 04:10:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	644	100¢	$641	0xd05346…
04-25 03:53:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25b26a…
04-25 03:44:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8c641e…
04-25 03:29:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x4205c1…
04-25 03:28:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xbaa2b3…
04-25 03:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf7ce68…
04-25 03:08:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8c75d0…
04-25 02:55:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x32e081…
04-25 02:55:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	99¢	$147	0x11109b…
04-25 02:55:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfe9b67…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xb04c93…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f5cdf…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97132f…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x60dce1…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x526901…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3a3662…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x0ce3f8…
04-25 02:55:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0359ac…
04-25 02:55:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x29262c…
04-21 18:50:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	2,123	100¢	$2,114	0xdf4428…
04-17 16:09:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,114	100¢	$2,112	0x500eac…
04-14 08:14:21	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	2,112	99¢	$2,095	0xee72ed…
04-09 18:59:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,095	100¢	$2,093	0x318081…
04-06 18:45:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,093	100¢	$2,085	0x76ae47…
03-29 19:54:40	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2,085	99¢	$2,072	0xb37f90…
03-26 07:07:23	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,066	0x9e8e9f…
03-22 01:33:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,066	98¢	$2,018	0xc686cc…
03-17 06:11:29	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	2,018	98¢	$1,986	0x4efa25…