Ordinary-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$238

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-12 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$17	160	10	+150	Up	+$1	05-05 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$16	35	0	+35	Down	$-16	05-08 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$15	28	0	+28	Down	$-15	05-12 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$11	44	0	+44	Down	$-11	05-07 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$8	28	0	+28	Down	$-8	05-06 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$6	16	0	+16	Down	$-6	05-05 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$3	43	0	+43	Down	$-3	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5838ac…
05-12 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4c07c6…
05-11 13:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x6197ee…
05-11 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa3f572…
05-11 13:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xe8da36…
05-11 13:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xb3a2c9…
05-11 12:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf64b04…
05-08 13:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xffbcc1…
05-08 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xe7b27b…
05-07 13:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf58a45…
05-07 13:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84d59d…
05-07 13:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc75a3a…
05-07 10:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x96c71a…
05-06 13:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xae3fb2…
05-06 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x105a32…
05-06 11:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xbee964…
05-06 11:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x87d969…
05-06 11:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xcf4422…
05-06 11:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x12a652…
05-06 11:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc64b8a…
05-06 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x37b01c…
05-06 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xee1d99…
05-05 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8acf9a…
05-05 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb76156…
05-05 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x74bb15…
05-05 13:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x620e61…
05-05 12:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x09d994…
05-05 12:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb0bdab…
05-05 12:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde7e8e…
05-05 12:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc36311…
05-05 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x05db69…
05-05 06:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x0b418c…
05-05 06:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x67e132…
05-05 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdfec86…
05-05 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbbedfa…
05-05 05:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7dcae4…
05-05 05:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0710d2…
05-04 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	92¢	$13	0xe16633…
05-04 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x454a64…
05-04 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xde41a5…
05-04 12:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8af783…
05-04 11:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xbb7c3f…
05-04 11:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x51c394…
05-04 07:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4a916…
05-03 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x3d78ec…
05-03 11:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x73f0cb…
05-01 17:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x48d2a5…
05-01 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb73d7c…
04-30 13:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc93700…
04-30 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeedd31…
04-30 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd4a437…
04-30 12:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf07869…
04-30 12:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9cb6e1…
04-30 12:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd54941…
04-30 12:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf9f079…
04-30 12:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x95bfe8…
04-30 12:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf4bd73…
04-30 12:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xb20348…
04-30 12:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x36f1b8…
04-30 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5e9df3…
04-30 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ce0c9…