Calm-Street — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-29 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$34

Crypto

15% 70% $-8

Other

9% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$465	614	153	+460	open	—	05-28 09:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$333	183	183	+0	No	+$33	05-09 03:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	05-27 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$204	131	131	+0	open	—	05-27 23:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$193	121	121	+0	open	—	05-28 00:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$156	97	97	+0	open	—	05-27 03:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$110	121	0	+121	open	—	05-09 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$105	106	4	+102	open	—	05-26 01:59
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	05-29 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$95	52	52	+0	open	—	05-09 17:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$91	46	46	+0	No	+$1	05-12 00:04
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$91	59	59	+0	open	—	05-27 23:16
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$40	22	22	+0	Thunder	$-0	05-05 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$37	65	64	+1	open	—	05-20 03:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$35	121	0	+121	open	—	05-05 03:12
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	05-20 03:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-09 03:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	05-13 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$19	19	7	+13	Down	+$3	05-07 03:13
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 23:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$12	17	7	+10	Up	+$6	05-05 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-07 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-09 03:02
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	$-10	05-09 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	05-03 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 03:18:11	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x27fdad…
05-28 09:29:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	153	68¢	$105	0xddb807…
05-28 00:40:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb36f24…
05-28 00:40:31	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xa0e8c2…
05-28 00:40:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	121	85¢	$103	0x75ff2e…
05-27 23:40:50	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	67¢	$65	0x9ebfe5…
05-27 23:39:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	86¢	$63	0x4a720b…
05-27 23:20:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0xd84069…
05-27 23:16:22	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	59	87¢	$51	0xce15f5…
05-27 03:19:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	191	42¢	$80	0x063e38…
05-27 03:19:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	97	88¢	$86	0x942906…
05-27 03:17:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x24fd49…
05-27 03:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xd472be…
05-27 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x69f20a…
05-27 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf12f7f…
05-27 02:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7785ee…
05-27 02:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xcb4e7d…
05-27 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaf702a…
05-27 02:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xe6f9d9…
05-27 02:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xda444a…
05-27 02:41:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	121	75¢	$90	0x5f2e3c…
05-27 02:30:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x5282b5…
05-26 03:17:51	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x351f5d…
05-26 02:06:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x9e7eee…
05-26 01:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xea0c70…
05-26 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x017029…
05-26 01:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x546cc5…
05-26 01:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdbd5cc…
05-26 01:13:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x377a74…
05-23 03:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4431b1…
05-23 03:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x0ff2b9…
05-23 03:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0abdd8…
05-23 03:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9ec2bf…
05-20 03:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	49	49¢	$24	0x9414be…
05-20 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa8d3cf…
05-20 03:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x44205a…
05-20 03:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x205045…
05-20 03:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xadb818…
05-20 03:10:22	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x2d5b4c…
05-13 23:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa1c0d6…
05-13 22:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6a2225…
05-13 22:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xad7991…
05-13 22:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfed4b5…
05-13 22:50:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x77af21…
05-13 00:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x29d36b…
05-13 00:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf4d9d0…
05-12 23:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x1b652e…
05-12 23:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8d56ac…
05-12 00:09:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0c0155…
05-12 00:04:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0a32c6…
05-12 00:02:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x98189b…
05-12 00:00:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x04f084…
05-09 17:52:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x43f141…
05-09 17:51:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x94baec…
05-09 17:49:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x91fd51…
05-09 17:48:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	121	91¢	$110	0x47bc34…
05-09 03:26:52	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x56e227…
05-09 03:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfaa732…
05-09 03:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x45355d…
05-09 03:18:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd7559b…
05-09 03:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c23c9…
05-09 03:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8f9434…
05-09 03:01:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xa58754…
05-09 03:00:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc90990…
05-07 03:17:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x4f052e…
05-07 03:16:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	71¢	$41	0xb39e73…
05-07 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9cd4e0…
05-07 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xa793a9…
05-07 03:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xca69d8…
05-07 03:06:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xde8ad2…
05-07 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6f9f39…
05-07 02:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0bb444…
05-07 02:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1463a1…
05-07 02:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x20f871…
05-07 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x84690f…
05-07 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x957db4…
05-07 02:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8662db…
05-07 02:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfff739…
05-07 02:32:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x60a15d…
05-07 02:28:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x3ccf1b…
05-07 02:24:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xc15af2…
05-05 03:12:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xee9011…
05-05 03:09:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x19873c…
05-05 02:47:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xee8226…
05-05 02:44:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x92f768…
05-05 02:33:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x0281f0…
05-05 02:31:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x84f04d…
05-05 02:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x6c52e5…
05-05 02:28:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x57fffd…
05-05 02:23:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc99c11…
05-05 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5a881…
05-05 02:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd09534…
05-05 02:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1dc136…
05-05 02:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0fb05b…
05-05 02:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x19bb72…
05-05 02:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xf9c798…
05-05 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe7ab49…
05-05 02:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x40abc6…
05-05 01:58:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf0db75…
05-05 01:56:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6fd9f6…