Jagged-Essay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$916

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-17 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$3

Other

22% 33% $-13

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	4	$61	58	48	+10	open	—	05-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$56	73	0	+73	open	—	05-17 18:14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	5	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	05-17 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$50	154	88	+66	open	—	05-17 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	05-17 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$42	40	23	+17	open	—	05-17 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-17 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	05-17 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-17 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$24	18	13	+4	open	—	05-17 18:24
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	3	$23	16	16	+0	PlayTime	+$3	05-06 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$20	21	16	+5	open	—	05-17 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$19	27	24	+3	open	—	05-17 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-15 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$15	42	0	+42	open	—	05-17 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 17:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-06 20:39
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$12	15	13	+2	open	—	05-17 11:37
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	01-14 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-17 07:31
cs2 mouzn allin 2026 01 22	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	01-22 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$11	10	6	+4	open	—	05-15 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	10	8	+2	open	—	05-17 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$10	13	6	+7	open	—	05-15 18:29
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	2	$10	28	0	+28	Isurus	$-10	05-06 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x546f85…
05-17 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4ce3af…
05-17 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x46e318…
05-17 18:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa7256b…
05-17 18:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x420b29…
05-17 18:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f2405…
05-17 18:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa4d6f4…
05-17 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc4d2b7…
05-17 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x44c949…
05-17 18:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd3481e…
05-17 18:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x555815…
05-17 18:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	82	22¢	$18	0x767b13…
05-17 18:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x144dc0…
05-17 18:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5ddd0e…
05-17 18:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xecef24…
05-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$13	0xd9c3fd…
05-17 18:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3d9aa6…
05-17 18:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48ec5a…
05-17 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2c8ddb…
05-17 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc11af7…
05-17 18:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xdbdfe5…
05-17 18:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x080714…
05-17 18:03:40	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb4b9f1…
05-17 17:56:23	lol kc mkoi 2026 05 17 game4 first blood	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0539c4…
05-17 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x6ec3a9…
05-17 17:48:23	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe2b9c0…
05-17 17:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x01b7e0…
05-17 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x8f6ec7…
05-17 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7d0433…
05-17 17:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf2d96f…
05-17 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd74b52…
05-17 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x206270…
05-17 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe1c2b0…
05-17 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3e6a9c…
05-17 17:32:56	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x0b0432…
05-17 17:32:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xee8146…
05-17 17:32:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7d3b07…
05-17 17:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x56650f…
05-17 17:26:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5bf99d…
05-17 17:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x09a1d0…
05-17 17:19:01	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbb97b0…
05-17 17:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7a3549…
05-17 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa51e86…
05-17 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x822382…
05-17 17:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x4a1482…
05-17 16:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdbc50e…
05-17 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd339f1…
05-17 16:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb93720…
05-17 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xb7b303…
05-17 16:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7f1459…
05-17 16:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f23d3…
05-17 16:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe9656a…
05-17 16:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf58e11…
05-17 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	81¢	$29	0x6788e9…
05-17 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77f1ca…
05-17 16:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xdee848…
05-17 16:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd3bb40…
05-17 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x34b16d…
05-17 16:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x28fe0b…
05-17 16:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x261f5a…
05-17 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xfba076…
05-17 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0xee823b…
05-17 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x100fd6…
05-17 12:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x983997…
05-17 12:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x480e9e…
05-17 12:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x53bf70…
05-17 12:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc5c589…
05-17 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x425977…
05-17 11:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x921e7d…
05-17 11:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x022e02…
05-17 11:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x684747…
05-17 11:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcffdfe…
05-17 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb18fc9…
05-17 11:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xad92f3…
05-17 11:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x3ed969…
05-17 11:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25becc…
05-17 11:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf03138…
05-17 11:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xdd5533…
05-17 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x68f886…
05-17 11:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x628bdf…
05-17 11:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x61a7d2…
05-17 09:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x4c4069…
05-17 09:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x334831…
05-17 09:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x16fed0…
05-17 09:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf4d01a…
05-17 09:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0ed60a…
05-17 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcf4ecb…
05-17 09:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x889100…
05-17 09:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7424e4…
05-17 09:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8c72d8…
05-17 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x71d980…
05-17 07:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2a24f5…
05-17 07:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x73ff03…
05-17 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x526e72…
05-17 07:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xef0a32…
05-15 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x7c581e…
05-15 19:53:25	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x01272e…
05-15 19:06:59	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0xb93d04…
05-15 18:44:32	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x354d2d…
05-15 18:36:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x66c638…