Hot-Macro-Briefing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-24 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$9	12	4	+7	Up	$-1	05-08 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$8	6	5	+2	Up	+$2	05-08 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$6	5	3	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-08 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-24 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-3	05-08 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-10 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-08 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-08 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-08 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-08 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1e1c97…
05-19 06:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xfec087…
05-19 06:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xccf15c…
05-11 17:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x226592…
05-11 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8667f6…
05-11 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x972392…
05-11 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x163176…
05-10 21:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe00a58…
05-10 21:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa5177a…
05-10 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x725adb…
05-10 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa11f59…
05-10 21:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xceda7f…
05-10 21:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7af11c…
05-10 21:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11a86b…
05-10 21:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x565851…
05-10 21:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x869443…
05-08 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc03cc2…
05-08 11:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9562e5…
05-08 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8b7457…
05-08 11:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe955dd…
05-08 11:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xde383e…
05-08 11:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3c5b00…
05-08 11:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa6f2ad…
05-08 10:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc1532e…
05-08 10:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdd0efd…
05-08 10:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98984f…
05-08 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6c7595…
05-08 10:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd240c5…
05-08 10:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9d1923…
05-08 10:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xb7e0d6…
05-08 10:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3e6984…
05-08 10:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x283cb2…
05-08 10:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x416198…
05-08 10:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf8d5ec…