Chubby-Price — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

69% 0% $-33

Other

31% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$28	28,000	0	+28,000	Yes	$-28	05-09 19:40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	2	$10	72	72	+0	open	—	05-11 09:39
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	1	$5	100	0	+100	Yes	$-5	05-10 11:04
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-10 11:00
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	833	0	+833	No	$-5	05-10 10:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-10 10:46
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$4	500	0	+500	open	—	05-11 09:40
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$3	83	0	+83	open	—	05-10 11:20
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-10 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 09:40:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x4d612d…
05-11 09:39:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$5	0xb0568a…
05-10 11:20:09	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0xe029ad…
05-10 11:04:59	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9c1c88…
05-10 11:00:14	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd4ce6d…
05-10 10:53:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x6816d5…
05-10 10:50:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb9f574…
05-10 10:48:09	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x272eb5…
05-10 10:46:00	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb997b2…
05-09 19:40:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x67f26e…
05-09 19:39:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xcffc85…