Whirlwind-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-07 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 56% +$18

Other

4% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$109	93	93	+0	open	—	05-03 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$60	63	63	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	6	$54	50	50	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$47	86	86	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$46	66	66	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$42	68	19	+49	open	—	05-03 15:12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$40	150	150	+0	open	—	05-03 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$20	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$38	48	48	+0	open	—	05-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$37	54	54	+0	Down	$-9	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	05-03 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$33	69	69	+0	open	—	05-03 15:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	4	$32	150	83	+67	No	$-8	05-07 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$31	33	33	+0	Up	$-5	05-05 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$31	30	20	+10	open	—	05-03 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$31	29	19	+10	open	—	05-03 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$21	30	11	+19	open	—	05-03 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	132	0	+132	Up	$-11	05-05 15:13
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$10	71	0	+71	Thunder	$-10	05-05 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	05-03 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 04:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x5516cd…
05-07 04:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4f7ab4…
05-07 04:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xeee5a1…
05-07 04:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	78	14¢	$11	0xb1e87d…
05-07 04:17:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8b3604…
05-07 04:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3b1fbf…
05-07 04:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x61d65a…
05-07 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x345f34…
05-07 04:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x71d7e3…
05-07 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	67¢	$12	0xe99da5…
05-07 04:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x8a36b8…
05-07 04:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x06ad94…
05-07 04:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x4dc876…
05-07 03:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x71f01f…
05-05 17:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf3171b…
05-05 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xa73852…
05-05 15:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe6981c…
05-05 15:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73b268…
05-05 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0cbc43…
05-05 15:08:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf07d24…
05-05 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x1eb233…
05-05 15:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x3adeca…
05-05 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1cbd25…
05-05 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x389994…
05-05 15:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x677d9a…
05-05 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfab471…
05-05 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x88c0b2…
05-05 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5a64e3…
05-05 04:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x42933e…
05-05 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x77a751…
05-05 04:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x382e0b…
05-05 04:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xa4b732…
05-05 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x9bf314…
05-05 04:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x5e4d33…
05-05 04:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3ea8a6…
05-05 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x81b276…
05-05 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xae3d2d…
05-05 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbd9f5b…
05-05 04:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x48c55f…
05-05 04:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x2e6f16…
05-05 04:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc1354…
05-05 04:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xad6f51…
05-05 04:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3c7647…
05-05 04:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0xe8d84e…
05-05 04:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa49bf4…
05-05 04:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x47a513…
05-05 04:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	86	31¢	$27	0x48288d…
05-05 04:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x147eb7…
05-05 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x918fe0…
05-05 04:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x9837f5…
05-05 04:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xad3a02…
05-05 04:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x881bf3…
05-05 04:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2bd6c9…
05-05 04:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x7dc7db…
05-05 04:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x21e941…
05-05 04:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe7c812…
05-03 15:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x940a81…
05-03 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0xfdc408…
05-03 15:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb34ab5…
05-03 15:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x079d86…
05-03 15:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	69	9¢	$6	0xdd60d4…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcb7ad2…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc3c636…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xb4e9e8…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x953568…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x61e0d6…
05-03 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2674cb…
05-03 15:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xda8666…
05-03 15:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x14e857…
05-03 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x8319e8…
05-03 15:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x94f44c…
05-03 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdf0787…
05-03 15:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x7012c4…
05-03 15:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe8e682…
05-03 15:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xcaf8e9…
05-03 14:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93cbe7…
05-03 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1ed488…
05-03 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x538e9f…
05-03 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc1f507…
05-03 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	78	60¢	$47	0x46f1df…
05-03 14:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x97c893…
05-03 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x09a79c…
05-03 14:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xeda15c…
05-03 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x06076b…
05-03 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8a6a33…
05-03 14:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0xcba0bf…
05-03 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe3e938…
05-03 14:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x61bc52…
05-03 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe34a9…
05-03 14:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc7fb75…
05-03 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x50234b…
05-03 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0d1621…
05-03 14:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x849b0c…
05-03 14:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6ebe4d…
05-03 14:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3ff3fa…
05-03 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x934757…
05-03 14:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaf425c…
05-03 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x2be47e…
05-03 14:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa50bde…
05-03 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf243db…