Whirlwind-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-14 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$18

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$109	93	93	+0	open	—	05-03 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$60	63	63	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 15:07
btc updown 5m 1784066100	4	$58	58	58	+0	open	—	07-14 21:59
btc updown 5m 1784066400	5	$55	1,132	20	+1,112	open	—	07-14 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	6	$54	50	50	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$47	86	86	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 04:34
btc updown 5m 1784061900	5	$46	86	86	+0	open	—	07-14 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$46	66	66	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 04:29
btc updown 5m 1784065800	3	$46	33	33	+0	open	—	07-14 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$42	68	19	+49	open	—	05-03 15:12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$40	150	150	+0	open	—	05-03 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$20	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$38	48	48	+0	open	—	05-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$37	54	54	+0	Down	$-9	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	05-03 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 14:48
btc updown 5m 1784063700	4	$36	44	44	+0	open	—	07-14 21:19
btc updown 5m 1784066700	4	$36	54	54	+0	open	—	07-14 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$33	69	69	+0	open	—	05-03 15:19
btc updown 5m 1784064900	2	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	07-14 21:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	4	$32	150	83	+67	No	$-8	05-07 04:18
btc updown 5m 1784061600	4	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	07-14 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$31	33	33	+0	Up	$-5	05-05 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$31	30	20	+10	open	—	05-03 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$31	29	19	+10	open	—	05-03 14:27
btc updown 5m 1784062800	4	$31	32	32	+0	open	—	07-14 21:04
btc updown 5m 1784062200	3	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	07-14 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 14:52
btc updown 5m 1784065200	2	$28	29	29	+0	open	—	07-14 21:44
btc updown 5m 1784063100	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	07-14 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 22:16:59	btc updown 5m 1784067300	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd27d88…
07-14 22:14:10	btc updown 5m 1784067000	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1354e7…
07-14 22:09:59	btc updown 5m 1784067000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8c04d…
07-14 22:09:43	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Up	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x1c33bd…
07-14 22:08:40	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc81f5f…
07-14 22:07:22	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Up	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x7ba9fd…
07-14 22:04:44	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbcc02c…
07-14 22:03:40	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x96f50c…
07-14 22:01:34	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3f8db9…
07-14 22:00:29	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x95d805…
07-14 22:00:23	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xca5e2c…
07-14 21:59:40	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xad29a0…
07-14 21:59:23	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Down	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x94a44e…
07-14 21:58:46	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x26ce04…
07-14 21:57:55	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Up	SELL	42	78¢	$32	0xff3b90…
07-14 21:54:22	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5a14bc…
07-14 21:51:56	btc updown 5m 1784065800	Down	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0xfd3650…
07-14 21:51:20	btc updown 5m 1784065800	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8986ee…
07-14 21:49:50	btc updown 5m 1784065800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf425d5…
07-14 21:44:55	btc updown 5m 1784065500	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe4fe42…
07-14 21:44:26	btc updown 5m 1784065200	Down	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x6f0a3c…
07-14 21:42:58	btc updown 5m 1784065200	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe23079…
07-14 21:39:41	btc updown 5m 1784064900	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x6b3031…
07-14 21:35:19	btc updown 5m 1784064900	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb3e0da…
07-14 21:32:17	btc updown 5m 1784064600	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x18e990…
07-14 21:21:01	btc updown 5m 1784064000	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6256a7…
07-14 21:19:41	btc updown 5m 1784064000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xee7ce8…
07-14 21:19:23	btc updown 5m 1784063700	Down	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x0dbbb5…
07-14 21:18:56	btc updown 5m 1784063700	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x30751d…
07-14 21:18:13	btc updown 5m 1784063700	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xedb17d…
07-14 21:16:11	btc updown 5m 1784063700	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x92bf94…
07-14 21:12:55	btc updown 5m 1784063400	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd7800e…
07-14 21:10:55	btc updown 5m 1784063400	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x1fe115…
07-14 21:10:17	btc updown 5m 1784063400	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbc3b21…
07-14 21:10:05	btc updown 5m 1784063400	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x93ffa4…
07-14 21:07:38	btc updown 5m 1784063100	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xeae505…
07-14 21:04:44	btc updown 5m 1784063100	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7e0bec…
07-14 21:04:31	btc updown 5m 1784062800	Up	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x5d685d…
07-14 21:04:08	btc updown 5m 1784062800	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6664c0…
07-14 21:02:40	btc updown 5m 1784062800	Down	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x53eb24…
07-14 21:00:02	btc updown 5m 1784062800	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1eda29…
07-14 20:58:49	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xea24ab…
07-14 20:57:38	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd0947c…
07-14 20:56:47	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf2e469…
07-14 20:55:38	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x9b2791…
07-14 20:55:04	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x410c72…
07-14 20:54:53	btc updown 5m 1784062500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3d0d3b…
07-14 20:54:22	btc updown 5m 1784062200	Up	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x29f655…
07-14 20:52:59	btc updown 5m 1784062200	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc77438…
07-14 20:50:02	btc updown 5m 1784062200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x686211…
07-14 20:49:20	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x35c130…
07-14 20:48:47	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5bdef5…
07-14 20:48:44	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Down	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0xce6597…
07-14 20:47:40	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9d3837…
07-14 20:44:53	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x106ece…
07-14 20:44:26	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x0b2998…
07-14 20:44:08	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x095e38…
07-14 20:42:59	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x8a588c…
07-14 20:39:19	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb703d1…
07-14 20:34:56	btc updown 5m 1784061300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc7ae04…
05-07 04:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x5516cd…
05-07 04:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4f7ab4…
05-07 04:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xeee5a1…
05-07 04:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	78	14¢	$11	0xb1e87d…
05-07 04:17:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8b3604…
05-07 04:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3b1fbf…
05-07 04:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x61d65a…
05-07 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x345f34…
05-07 04:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x71d7e3…
05-07 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	67¢	$12	0xe99da5…
05-07 04:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x8a36b8…
05-07 04:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x06ad94…
05-07 04:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x4dc876…
05-07 03:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x71f01f…
05-05 17:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf3171b…
05-05 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xa73852…
05-05 15:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe6981c…
05-05 15:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73b268…
05-05 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0cbc43…
05-05 15:08:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf07d24…
05-05 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x1eb233…
05-05 15:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x3adeca…
05-05 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1cbd25…
05-05 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x389994…
05-05 15:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x677d9a…
05-05 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfab471…
05-05 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x88c0b2…
05-05 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5a64e3…
05-05 04:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x42933e…
05-05 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x77a751…
05-05 04:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x382e0b…
05-05 04:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xa4b732…
05-05 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x9bf314…
05-05 04:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x5e4d33…
05-05 04:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3ea8a6…
05-05 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x81b276…
05-05 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xae3d2d…
05-05 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbd9f5b…
05-05 04:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x48c55f…
05-05 04:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x2e6f16…