Outlying-Scimitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$506

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% +$6

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$41	47	47	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$41	43	43	+0	Up	+$21	05-12 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$37	130	35	+94	Down	+$5	05-12 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$28	57	23	+33	Up	+$6	05-12 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$15	05-11 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$17	13	13	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$15	83	0	+83	Down	$-15	05-12 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$13	53	0	+53	Up	$-13	05-11 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	+$19	05-12 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$10	44	0	+44	Up	$-10	05-12 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$7	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$6	144	0	+144	Down	$-6	05-13 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$6	138	0	+138	Down	$-6	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$6	150	0	+150	Up	$-6	05-12 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$6	17	0	+17	Up	$-6	05-11 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$6	39	0	+39	Down	$-6	05-12 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$6	64	0	+64	Up	$-6	05-11 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$6	28	0	+28	Up	$-6	05-11 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$6	34	0	+34	Up	+$8	05-13 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Up	$-6	05-11 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$6	58	0	+58	Down	$-6	05-11 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-13 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x39932b…
05-13 16:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x83b19b…
05-13 15:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x14e3d7…
05-13 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc5b162…
05-13 15:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x6ca955…
05-13 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x50ae09…
05-13 15:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd6942b…
05-13 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x2f8e5b…
05-13 15:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x18277e…
05-13 15:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfa0574…
05-13 15:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54ea39…
05-13 15:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x55d182…
05-13 15:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x552536…
05-13 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0d945e…
05-13 15:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdb0df3…
05-13 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xac9d1b…
05-13 14:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xab7a0e…
05-13 14:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x624e0e…
05-13 14:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6a33f2…
05-13 14:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc5faa9…
05-13 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xfbfa2a…
05-13 14:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd4b02f…
05-13 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdb0829…
05-13 14:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7330ce…
05-13 14:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8e3787…
05-13 14:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x54bf2c…
05-12 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0e00eb…
05-12 08:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x74cc33…
05-12 08:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x147b31…
05-12 08:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xdec0c0…
05-12 08:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbdd0f7…
05-12 08:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x1e0139…
05-12 08:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb6a1ed…
05-12 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xe0b95d…
05-12 08:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc3386f…
05-12 08:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x61b844…
05-12 08:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x19df4f…
05-12 08:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0x75e64b…
05-12 08:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x22ff4c…
05-12 08:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf8a64d…
05-12 08:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	43	73¢	$31	0x022849…
05-12 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xeb2672…
05-12 08:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x649842…
05-12 08:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3d3cfa…
05-12 08:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa0fb5a…
05-12 06:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6b5728…
05-12 06:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8c2235…
05-12 06:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x1b4f9a…
05-12 06:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xb7e839…
05-12 06:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x59f531…
05-12 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x45d63f…
05-12 06:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa08cef…
05-12 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2327fe…
05-12 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc88271…
05-12 06:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x66c781…
05-12 06:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa1ffc4…
05-12 06:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xd98d79…
05-12 05:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xed5ef2…
05-12 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe14997…
05-12 05:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x998f7d…
05-11 20:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xde876e…
05-11 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf2d57c…
05-11 18:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbcb5ad…
05-11 17:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x54500a…
05-11 17:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb8424e…
05-11 17:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf38629…
05-11 17:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xed58be…
05-11 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xffc5c7…
05-11 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x692061…
05-11 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x42c9e2…
05-11 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x24b6c9…
05-11 16:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x84fc23…
05-11 15:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb39152…
05-11 15:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xa83a91…
05-11 15:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0e4644…
05-11 15:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x9f751c…
05-11 15:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xecc831…
05-11 15:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1c45f3…
05-11 15:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xc68f89…
05-11 13:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x79ad35…
05-11 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe058ee…
05-11 12:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8d5b14…
05-11 12:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf8427e…
05-11 12:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa9926d…
05-11 12:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe77b99…
05-11 12:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1d59e4…
05-11 12:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x48b724…
05-11 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa8e38e…
05-11 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb5721f…
05-11 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x233499…
05-11 12:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x367aa1…
05-11 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc2a14a…
05-11 08:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x125920…
05-11 07:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf74f83…
05-11 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3500c9…
05-11 07:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3a8dd4…
05-11 07:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd3ba3e…
05-11 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfbe0ba…
05-11 07:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x65fd54…
05-11 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x774c00…