Hasty-Capitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$463

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-04 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$11

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	02-10 09:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	02-09 10:27
ethereum above 2300 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	open	—	02-08 07:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	02-07 07:13
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	02-05 12:37
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$2	05-08 00:14
ethereum above 2300 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	02-06 11:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	05-07 01:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$2	05-06 05:33
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$2	05-06 02:29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 4?	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	No	+$2	05-05 00:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	02-04 07:00
solana above 140 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	02-02 07:27
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	05-04 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	02-01 06:33
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-31 06:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	02-03 08:17
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-30 12:47
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 11:20
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 09:17
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	1	$3	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	03-11 08:11
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 16	1	$3	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	02-16 08:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	1	$3	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	02-27 10:17
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	1	$3	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	04-04 06:52
ethereum above 2900 on january 18	3	$3	3,193	0	+3,193	open	—	01-18 07:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	1	$3	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	03-20 03:12
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$3	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	04-10 06:39
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 28	1	$2	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	03-28 07:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?	1	$2	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	05-27 03:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	1	$2	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	04-30 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 03:45:54	will solana dip to 50 on june 3	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$2	0xe34e43…
06-03 03:25:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0xa06006…
05-27 03:15:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xd4c154…
05-08 00:14:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,082	0x738f25…
05-07 01:15:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x4828cb…
05-06 05:33:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0x8bcb53…
05-06 02:29:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,074	0xf4c6b8…
05-05 00:26:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0x7663d6…
05-04 02:20:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,065	0xe1540c…
04-30 21:21:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$2	0xf4da66…
04-27 14:01:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$2	0xf19b72…
04-21 09:15:10	xrp above 1pt7 on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$1	0xf3ca85…
04-17 07:01:50	xrp above 1pt7 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$1	0x7c2d6f…
04-10 06:39:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$3	0x6af7c8…
04-04 06:52:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x69e80e…
03-28 07:34:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$2	0x6329c8…
03-20 03:12:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$3	0x99f84f…
03-11 08:11:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$3	0xbcbede…
02-27 10:17:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$3	0xc993aa…
02-16 08:12:29	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$3	0xa8d41c…
02-10 09:29:09	ethereum above 2300 on february 10	No	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,104	0xc39549…
02-09 10:27:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 9	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,100	0xdba4a2…
02-08 07:00:55	ethereum above 2300 on february 8	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,095	0xd709cb…
02-07 07:13:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 7	No	BUY	1,091	99¢	$1,084	0x309ab8…
02-06 11:21:47	ethereum above 2300 on february 6	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,081	0xdcdfe6…
02-05 12:37:51	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,082	0xdb35f5…
02-04 07:00:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	1,075	99¢	$1,069	0x29e6bb…
02-03 08:17:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 3	No	BUY	1,069	99¢	$1,063	0x94f5d9…
02-02 11:08:18	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d6965…
02-02 07:27:24	solana above 140 on february 2	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0xf6e756…
02-01 06:33:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x44b6f1…
01-31 06:53:04	ethereum above 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0x8f66e3…
01-30 12:47:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x5b9b38…
01-29 11:39:50	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3336a9…
01-27 11:20:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd7fbe6…
01-26 11:59:31	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b76da…
01-26 07:55:55	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x9f73db…
01-24 09:17:44	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81d00b…
01-21 13:49:04	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x011693…
01-18 07:17:18	ethereum above 2900 on january 18	No	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0xa629b1…
01-18 07:15:46	ethereum above 2900 on january 18	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x7c284c…
01-18 07:11:22	ethereum above 2900 on january 18	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x86ff9b…