Ecstatic-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$437

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-01 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 50% +$467

Other

25% — —

Sports

21% 0% $-30

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-186	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-31 05:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$27	726	0	+726	open	—	05-12 01:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$20	490	0	+490	Yes	+$471	05-08 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$15	339	339	+0	open	—	06-01 16:30
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	1	$15	125	0	+125	Baisangur Susurkaev	$-15	05-09 18:25
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	1	$15	136	0	+136	Philadelphia Phillies	$-15	05-10 00:18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$10	278	0	+278	open	—	05-13 05:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$10	115	115	+0	open	—	05-22 13:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$9	474	0	+474	open	—	05-26 19:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$6	138	138	+0	open	—	05-25 22:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$5	238	238	+0	open	—	05-16 14:45
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	1	$5	173	0	+173	open	—	05-24 04:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$4	138	0	+138	open	—	05-23 19:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$3	86	0	+86	No	$-3	05-06 21:31
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	186	-186	open	—	05-31 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	273	0¢	$0	0x91a589…
05-31 05:42:42	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$1	0x650ce0…
05-26 19:23:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x877729…
05-26 19:23:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x5a57c3…
05-26 19:23:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x1075fa…
05-26 01:47:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x697ff0…
05-25 22:25:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$2	0xb3a7df…
05-24 04:42:28	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x3ee096…
05-23 19:08:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	3¢	$4	0xb844ee…
05-23 19:06:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	3¢	$4	0x155185…
05-23 11:44:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x9eb0cb…
05-22 13:54:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$5	0xeabb6f…
05-21 21:03:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x85702a…
05-20 19:11:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x51ac3d…
05-16 16:42:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xf60cbb…
05-16 14:45:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	238	0¢	$0	0x3c6b34…
05-13 05:24:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x32da92…
05-12 20:04:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xc4a010…
05-12 01:11:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0x14a0aa…
05-11 17:21:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	3¢	$6	0xc8c2d4…
05-11 03:01:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	5¢	$9	0x2c7060…
05-10 23:46:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfaf0f3…
05-10 00:18:55	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x636e00…
05-09 18:25:58	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xbedee9…
05-08 22:55:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x705075…
05-08 18:49:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0xeb3594…
05-08 13:49:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	3¢	$9	0x0fc006…
05-06 21:31:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	86	4¢	$3	0xfbac7e…
05-06 19:34:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x653623…
05-06 19:31:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	5¢	$10	0x5bb38c…