Serious-Wait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

536

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-16 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$29	31	31	+0	open	—	05-02 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	4	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$24	25	14	+11	open	—	05-02 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$21	19	14	+6	open	—	05-02 16:26
btc updown 5m 1777052700	2	$18	18	17	+1	open	—	04-24 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$18	20	14	+6	open	—	05-02 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$16	26	14	+11	open	—	05-02 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$16	28	17	+11	open	—	05-02 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$15	24	14	+10	open	—	05-02 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$13	27	21	+5	open	—	05-02 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$11	19	14	+5	open	—	05-02 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$9	15	10	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$8	15	13	+2	Down	$-4	05-08 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-23 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$7	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:11:48	btc updown 5m 1781615400	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x748dfc…
05-28 06:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x4494ff…
05-28 06:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb6f8ab…
05-28 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc09a0f…
05-28 05:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x634bbe…
05-28 05:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe9d566…
05-28 05:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x269b16…
05-28 05:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xbdcb49…
05-28 05:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21f733…
05-28 05:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x51016e…
05-28 05:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ce9ef…
05-28 05:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x5a001f…
05-28 05:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1ba1c2…
05-28 04:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x8b16ba…
05-28 04:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd95f87…
05-28 04:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xebe1d2…
05-28 04:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd66e5c…
05-28 04:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c9e54…
05-28 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb5ea18…
05-28 04:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0f7eff…
05-28 04:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaaa452…
05-28 04:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9099c2…
05-27 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a890e…
05-27 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x21559a…
05-27 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xda26c2…
05-27 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x64b58d…
05-27 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5fd8cd…
05-27 15:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7682d6…
05-27 15:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x42bfcc…
05-27 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0eda52…
05-27 10:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf574a…
05-27 10:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1f29f6…
05-27 10:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x36b5f1…
05-27 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcb6a12…
05-27 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe76f98…
05-27 10:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd7cdd4…
05-26 11:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa73570…
05-26 11:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0fc836…
05-26 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x89ab01…
05-26 08:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x198be2…
05-26 08:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdc695d…
05-26 08:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb656bb…
05-26 08:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0c1271…
05-26 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7091af…
05-26 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x952972…
05-26 07:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x393823…
05-26 07:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31f6b2…
05-26 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf327e1…
05-26 07:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x417254…
05-26 07:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa9df59…
05-26 07:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3e8092…
05-26 07:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1c422e…
05-26 07:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0c4132…
05-26 07:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc9b1e8…
05-26 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x78a4dd…
05-26 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0e3b9f…
05-26 06:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x16b09d…
05-26 06:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbe7314…
05-26 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26f2b6…
05-26 06:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9cae4d…
05-26 06:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x5fea03…
05-26 06:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x32b71b…
05-26 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x078744…
05-26 06:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2c588f…
05-26 06:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa3e9d0…
05-26 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x899510…
05-26 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe49571…
05-26 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xec6b64…
05-26 05:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x28a296…
05-26 05:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0c0d43…
05-26 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x88b1ac…
05-26 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x73cd09…
05-26 05:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x73843e…
05-26 05:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe61364…
05-26 05:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x9be868…
05-26 05:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe0a883…
05-26 05:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc8fe3b…
05-26 04:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x0059f1…
05-26 04:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb27e4…
05-26 04:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcbbd86…
05-26 04:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x643c3c…
05-26 04:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x967bc0…
05-26 04:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xc67d12…
05-26 04:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xaec499…
05-26 04:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x519d17…
05-26 04:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xc62442…
05-26 04:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x42ea14…
05-26 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc0d99…
05-26 04:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x3cc79b…
05-26 04:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xd446b6…
05-26 04:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd6c370…
05-26 03:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x8374c5…
05-26 03:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x70d307…
05-26 03:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x4c1c6b…
05-26 03:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xdb1df2…
05-26 03:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x57b52f…
05-26 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x85ff3e…
05-26 03:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x693d48…
05-26 03:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc6f751…
05-26 03:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa23128…