Cautious-Speedboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-02 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

45% 25% $-336

Other

40% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$374	461	0	+461	Sean Strickland	$-374	05-10 02:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$154	296	0	+296	open	—	06-13 01:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$149	87	87	+0	open	—	05-01 20:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$103	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	04-30 15:32
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	3	$78	152	0	+152	open	—	05-02 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$64	150	0	+150	open	—	08-02 08:19
LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$60	76	0	+76	open	—	05-02 09:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$42	200	400	-200	open	—	05-11 07:40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$40	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 12:08
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$22	100	0	+100	Timberwolves	+$78	05-05 00:18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$20	50	0	+50	Pistons	$-20	05-05 04:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$20	143	0	+143	Thunder	$-20	05-06 00:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-06 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 08:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x747208…
08-02 06:23:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0x99f0e3…
06-13 01:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	296	52¢	$154	0x113293…
05-11 07:40:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0xbded2b…
05-10 02:36:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	461	81¢	$374	0xbf7e8a…
05-06 13:11:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x573469…
05-06 00:23:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfb5ddc…
05-06 00:23:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x3960b0…
05-05 04:57:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xf05fb1…
05-05 00:18:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x1d4984…
05-02 09:41:14	LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	MVK Esports	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xa76d44…
05-02 09:40:50	LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	MVK Esports	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x484a18…
05-02 08:15:08	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1abc37…
05-02 07:54:00	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xe9d998…
05-02 06:39:26	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0xa41f7f…
05-01 20:07:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x0bc802…
05-01 19:34:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x6ab397…
05-01 19:34:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xd90937…
05-01 18:56:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xa8ca4e…
05-01 18:55:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x72ff8b…
05-01 18:55:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x1f251f…
05-01 13:54:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0xe1fe19…
05-01 13:52:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x11c4ed…
05-01 12:08:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	46	45¢	$21	0x19a13c…
05-01 11:51:52	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0xca1229…
05-01 11:51:22	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x352630…
04-30 15:32:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	565	9¢	$51	0xdc690d…
04-30 15:22:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x98ec06…
04-30 15:20:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x32008a…
04-30 15:20:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd2027b…
04-30 15:20:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0xb081db…
04-30 15:03:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0xfc629f…
04-30 14:47:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	253	9¢	$23	0x56ea57…
04-30 14:30:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	129	9¢	$12	0xb26483…