Wry-Fiddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

-$1.13K

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,858

lifetime

Volume

$535.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

$10.3K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-19 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$1,530

Other

36% 33% $-1,846

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No		-11,931	$-9,187	86¢	$-10320	$-1,133	05-29 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$52.6K	40,332	32,332	+8,000	open	—	05-28 18:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	78	$48.2K	25,911	26,894	-983	open	—	05-31 14:00
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	204	$43.4K	88,944	1,714	+87,230	open	—	07-19 05:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$22.6K	12,465	12,465	+0	open	—	05-26 02:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	62	$22.0K	20,517	11,960	+8,557	open	—	06-14 23:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$20.9K	12,963	12,963	+0	open	—	05-26 04:11
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	45	$20.0K	15,930	5,930	+10,000	No	+$1,530	05-11 01:16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	114	$19.4K	21,109	20,697	+413	open	—	02-01 02:29
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	37	$18.9K	12,768	20,850	-8,082	open	—	06-17 00:46
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	104	$18.9K	15,610	10,921	+4,690	open	—	06-16 20:20
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	86	$14.6K	13,375	7,145	+6,229	open	—	05-28 21:25
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	29	$13.4K	8,847	6,141	+2,706	open	—	03-11 13:52
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	34	$13.0K	7,776	6,274	+1,502	open	—	03-11 10:24
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	24	$12.2K	7,620	7,620	+0	open	—	02-01 03:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	31	$11.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	04-05 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$10.0K	5,652	5,652	+0	open	—	04-23 13:14
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	22	$9.7K	6,139	6,139	+0	open	—	04-17 22:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	24	$9.2K	0	11,931	-11,931	open	—	05-29 21:17
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	52	$8.2K	4,950	6,963	-2,013	open	—	06-06 00:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$8.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-22 21:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	21	$7.9K	9,630	904	+8,727	open	—	04-15 03:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	20	$7.4K	7,928	7,928	+0	open	—	04-05 11:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	15	$7.0K	8,012	0	+8,012	open	—	03-16 02:05
will russia enter stinky by march 31	22	$6.0K	5,222	1,979	+3,243	open	—	03-16 17:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	5	$5.5K	7,151	0	+7,151	open	—	05-28 21:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	94	$5.4K	37,398	37,100	+298	open	—	05-20 13:53
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?	18	$4.9K	5,866	0	+5,866	open	—	03-24 22:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	83	$4.8K	20,089	20,089	+0	No	$-1,256	04-21 16:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$4.7K	4,892	1,499	+3,394	open	—	06-14 02:02
house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	12	$4.6K	2,517	2,517	+0	open	—	03-05 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 05:01:36	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	277	41¢	$114	0x43f52c…
07-19 04:54:45	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	223	41¢	$91	0x94f904…
07-18 19:15:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	39¢	$390	0xca77b8…
07-15 20:18:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xab746c…
07-14 20:00:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x44fe01…
07-14 20:00:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x27c5aa…
07-14 19:52:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2e1c47…
07-14 19:51:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb1f6d7…
07-14 19:51:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x1b517c…
07-14 19:51:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x9ce3e4…
07-14 19:51:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xbeca3b…
07-14 19:51:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xe0acf2…
07-14 17:10:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x9223cd…
07-14 12:28:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x155b14…
07-13 23:47:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3aebd0…
07-13 15:40:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	234	38¢	$89	0x1a6cb3…
07-13 12:42:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xba49b5…
07-13 12:41:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	112	37¢	$41	0x439b6d…
07-12 23:26:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0x358803…
07-12 21:22:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	212	38¢	$81	0xa1b15b…
07-12 03:55:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x1bd785…
07-11 18:48:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	807	39¢	$315	0x79385a…
07-11 14:43:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x53fd90…
07-11 14:07:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	700	39¢	$273	0xd3d4e9…
07-11 13:39:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xf9b7e7…
07-11 12:51:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	800	39¢	$312	0x301cca…
07-11 12:48:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	157	39¢	$61	0xa4b450…
07-11 12:48:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x930d64…
07-11 12:27:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x8d1ee3…
07-11 12:27:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,820	38¢	$692	0x161fa4…
07-11 12:26:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x95fc74…
07-11 12:26:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	415	37¢	$153	0x9cc051…
07-11 12:26:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xd49ca9…
07-11 12:26:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x52e517…
07-11 03:10:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x718a57…
07-11 02:54:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	710	39¢	$277	0xda32ef…
07-11 00:48:53	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	220	39¢	$86	0x8e8aff…
07-11 00:46:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x8e45a2…
07-11 00:45:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0x08d9a6…
07-11 00:45:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xcbba9a…
07-10 22:55:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	240	39¢	$94	0x6a8c3a…
07-10 22:50:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	249	39¢	$97	0xdb758f…
07-10 22:49:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xd7d285…
07-10 22:04:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc1bc5a…
07-10 20:42:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x24c2bc…
07-10 18:20:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x3e2ed9…
07-10 18:14:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x1cfca0…
07-10 17:40:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	75	41¢	$31	0x588e25…
07-10 17:40:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x456f94…
07-10 13:03:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0ac9f0…
07-10 02:25:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x50b050…
07-10 00:55:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x4eaa88…
07-10 00:55:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x695a20…
07-09 23:16:31	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x4d5d44…
07-09 19:02:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf3e30c…
07-09 17:47:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf332d6…
07-09 17:08:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcbfb46…
07-09 17:07:53	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x27c0e1…
07-09 17:07:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x8695d8…
07-09 17:07:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xf4e2ef…
07-09 16:25:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfc0322…
07-09 16:08:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x56ad12…
07-09 16:08:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x5df40b…
07-09 16:08:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1910c7…
07-09 16:08:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0xa6848b…
07-09 16:07:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	3,400	39¢	$1,326	0x5e2ee0…
07-09 16:07:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xe527c0…
07-09 16:07:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	2,566	38¢	$974	0x57c33f…
07-09 03:33:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	210	42¢	$88	0x128527…
07-09 03:32:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x2c6214…
07-08 23:10:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	175	44¢	$77	0x0bb36b…
07-08 23:10:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x582cc6…
07-08 23:08:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xdae58b…
07-08 23:08:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9a5472…
07-08 23:08:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x471dfb…
07-08 22:55:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x5f0140…
07-08 22:53:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x32885c…
07-08 22:52:53	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xbe0f11…
07-08 22:52:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc35db8…
07-08 22:46:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,050	39¢	$410	0x969497…
07-08 22:10:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0xf40a61…
07-08 22:08:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xe4cf74…
07-08 21:50:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3ec880…
07-08 21:50:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x7f2408…
07-08 21:48:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe8385e…
07-08 21:47:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4e5449…
07-08 21:47:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe29f44…
07-08 21:47:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xefd618…
07-08 21:46:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd9a041…
07-08 21:46:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	3,338	41¢	$1,369	0xbd051e…
07-08 21:45:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,311	40¢	$524	0xa30649…
07-08 21:45:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xce38b4…
07-08 21:45:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	38¢	$570	0xa4963f…
07-08 21:45:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	282	37¢	$104	0x96904d…
07-08 18:16:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x534037…
07-08 18:16:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x57630f…
07-08 17:16:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x23c0b0…
07-08 12:59:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb71b83…
07-08 04:04:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x766d33…
07-08 02:46:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xdb43bd…