Murky-Retouching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-10 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Other

36% — —

Sports

15% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.7K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	02-15 03:30
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,412	0	+1,412	open	—	02-15 10:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.3K	1,374	0	+1,374	open	—	01-14 12:18
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 580 599	1	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	01-05 08:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	03-10 05:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$979	995	0	+995	open	—	03-29 10:57
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$918	922	0	+922	open	—	03-15 02:59
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$869	908	0	+908	open	—	03-18 05:38
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$367	11,131	0	+11,131	open	—	03-05 07:07
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	1	$128	273	0	+273	open	—	04-15 03:43
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$124	225	0	+225	Sabres	+$101	05-06 07:34
nba den lal 2026 03 14	1	$121	136	0	+136	open	—	03-15 02:54
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	1	$113	247	0	+247	open	—	05-19 01:50
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	1	$108	270	0	+270	open	—	04-11 07:06
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$107	210	0	+210	open	—	05-26 01:43
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	1	$107	191	0	+191	open	—	04-03 04:04
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$105	229	0	+229	open	—	04-30 03:59
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	1	$105	211	0	+211	open	—	04-22 03:51
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	1	$94	2,908	0	+2,908	open	—	01-09 03:54
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$93	404	0	+404	Spurs	$-93	05-12 02:37
mlb hou laa 2026 06 10	1	$78	150	0	+150	open	—	06-10 07:03
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$70	137	0	+137	open	—	06-02 03:57
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	1	$45	55	0	+55	open	—	03-18 05:41
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-18 04:59
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	03-18 04:58
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-15 02:53
Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	1	$0	1	0	+1	open	—	04-22 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:03:33	mlb hou laa 2026 06 10	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0xb97ff6…
06-02 03:57:06	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Texas Rangers	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x8ac55c…
05-26 01:43:51	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	210	51¢	$107	0x261202…
05-19 01:50:42	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	247	46¢	$113	0x57825e…
05-12 02:37:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	404	23¢	$93	0xf3f2be…
05-06 07:34:44	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	225	55¢	$124	0x032428…
04-30 03:59:02	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	229	46¢	$105	0xf053e8…
04-22 06:02:04	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x5df0b0…
04-22 03:51:06	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Hawks	BUY	211	50¢	$105	0xa89edb…
04-15 03:43:54	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	Magic	BUY	273	47¢	$128	0x07868d…
04-11 07:06:15	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	Yes	BUY	270	40¢	$108	0x5563be…
04-03 04:04:33	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	191	56¢	$107	0xa68387…
03-29 10:57:10	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb5455d…
03-29 10:56:02	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	289	98¢	$284	0x8d8016…
03-29 10:52:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	202	98¢	$199	0xcabac9…
03-29 10:52:12	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e73cb…
03-29 10:51:36	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdf1fad…
03-29 10:51:22	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x85b2e0…
03-29 10:49:52	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xba108d…
03-29 10:48:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbafadf…
03-29 10:48:02	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x49ec30…
03-29 10:47:58	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8da607…
03-29 10:43:48	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3def2…
03-29 10:43:12	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x220008…
03-29 10:39:44	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x4c0386…
03-18 05:41:15	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xe8649d…
03-18 05:38:57	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	170	96¢	$162	0x276969…
03-18 05:28:53	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xc523e8…
03-18 05:28:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	539	96¢	$515	0x592ade…
03-18 04:59:29	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x68954d…
03-18 04:58:47	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x1dda81…
03-15 02:59:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	740	100¢	$737	0x760a90…
03-15 02:56:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x431298…
03-15 02:55:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4a0e30…
03-15 02:54:33	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Nuggets	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0x673e8a…
03-15 02:53:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x086009…
03-10 05:02:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,060	97¢	$1,029	0xb1ac4c…
03-05 07:07:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x21c9e1…
03-05 07:07:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8d5233…
03-05 07:07:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x1a0698…
03-05 07:06:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x77fbf1…
03-05 07:05:57	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,121	3¢	$37	0x7879e5…
03-05 07:01:11	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,423	3¢	$47	0xc3556b…
03-05 06:56:59	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,433	3¢	$47	0x00648a…
03-05 06:51:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,373	3¢	$45	0xb15a55…
03-05 06:45:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,056	3¢	$35	0x140ddb…
03-05 06:43:03	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xf41ce1…
03-05 06:42:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x59dec2…
03-05 06:42:37	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xba5f7f…
03-05 06:42:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8c9b8f…
03-05 06:41:29	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1090ea…
03-05 06:41:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,426	3¢	$47	0x895802…
03-05 06:41:17	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe1006a…
03-05 06:40:45	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xc8edbb…
03-05 06:40:31	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$3	0x90d14d…
03-05 06:40:23	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0ff6b2…
03-05 06:40:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x8eebf8…
03-05 06:39:43	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xdebd2b…
03-05 06:38:07	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,484	3¢	$49	0xfda0ee…
03-05 06:36:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,383	3¢	$46	0x947a0b…
02-15 10:49:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,412	95¢	$1,344	0xdd9a1d…
02-15 03:30:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,401	96¢	$1,344	0x79094e…
02-03 12:58:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,401	98¢	$1,374	0x316170…
01-14 12:18:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	208	95¢	$199	0x28a6b9…
01-14 12:17:28	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0xd3d453…
01-14 12:17:26	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x61a9d6…
01-14 12:17:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	766	95¢	$731	0xa7e2c5…
01-09 03:54:44	over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	No	BUY	2,908	3¢	$94	0x2e6be2…
01-05 08:15:29	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 580 599	No	BUY	1,309	96¢	$1,261	0xf54b29…