Cloudy-Retrospective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$639

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-19 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-4

Politics

38% 0% $-3

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	44	$151	142	177	-35	open	—	05-19 16:55
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	8	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	03-17 13:12
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 00:24
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	26	$31	95	95	+0	open	—	05-19 06:39
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	9	$27	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 23:00
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	5	$25	15	10	+5	open	—	03-16 05:48
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	14	$20	36	36	+0	open	—	05-19 16:58
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 14:46
will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	10	$15	30	10	+20	open	—	03-15 18:14
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	7	$14	22	17	+5	open	—	03-22 19:42
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	05-19 16:55
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	7	$12	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 17:02
will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 01:39
will franois brianon be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 12:42
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	4	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-22 07:04
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-20 22:56
Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 12:32
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 19:51
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 11:52
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1015	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 11:32
Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 19:51
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 13:33
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 00:57
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	7	$8	27	22	+5	No	$-2	04-26 12:46
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	6	$8	20	5	+15	open	—	03-13 18:25
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 14:14
rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 fra	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 21:44
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	4	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	03-13 19:30
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	9	$7	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 16:56
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:58:47	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x85e43c…
05-19 16:56:46	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x7be1dc…
05-19 16:56:21	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x1f3bcd…
05-19 16:55:48	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x89444a…
05-19 16:55:41	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x044f55…
05-19 16:36:33	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x4940fb…
05-19 07:14:18	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb158c1…
05-19 07:06:28	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc2aa1a…
05-19 06:51:21	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8221c4…
05-19 06:39:46	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xec8887…
05-19 06:35:13	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x233128…
05-19 06:17:17	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x64c41d…
05-19 02:24:06	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb394cf…
05-19 00:24:15	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf0bfea…
05-18 17:23:45	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1f7974…
05-18 12:19:10	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x4496ba…
05-18 10:56:11	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa3f8cd…
05-18 10:32:36	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x9c013d…
05-18 09:37:26	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8079ec…
05-18 09:13:30	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x8051d6…
05-17 19:55:49	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda69ec…
05-17 18:38:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x5672cf…
05-17 18:25:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x0ffd22…
05-16 16:38:22	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x246ab5…
05-16 14:19:06	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf93f29…
05-16 09:11:55	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x57bbf0…
05-15 18:55:21	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd22d19…
05-15 17:49:47	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xead26f…
05-15 17:02:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xa56a50…
05-15 13:58:14	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7e38a3…
05-15 11:23:44	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x569280…
05-15 11:23:21	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x9da3ff…
05-15 10:16:30	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xdb0936…
05-15 09:03:47	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcb55da…
05-15 08:16:45	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x095201…
05-15 07:42:34	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xd7a889…
05-15 07:15:17	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4964e4…
05-15 07:01:05	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x3e37ab…
05-15 04:13:40	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb3c055…
05-14 23:32:25	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x44e9a4…
05-14 23:22:54	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5e5fc8…
05-14 22:22:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xf0ee65…
05-14 20:31:24	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xa70437…
05-14 19:30:01	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xde0a99…
05-14 17:56:04	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xf61083…
05-14 15:12:19	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x9268c5…
05-13 19:47:16	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x942656…
05-13 19:12:58	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xd026a1…
05-13 11:46:36	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7e516c…
05-13 07:11:42	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x75b004…
05-13 07:05:06	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xa21113…
05-13 05:06:08	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xb4c1fd…
05-13 05:05:51	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x728d37…
05-13 04:43:42	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x647d5e…
05-13 02:28:45	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4855b1…
05-12 20:21:55	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0900e6…
05-12 20:04:48	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x403865…
05-12 19:11:57	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1ab404…
05-12 17:54:22	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9678fd…
05-12 16:04:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x35d8b9…
05-12 15:23:07	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x59a4ed…
05-12 14:31:27	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe12b5c…
05-12 14:16:37	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xb06234…
05-12 12:51:11	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x4620f1…
05-12 12:37:46	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x04d6b1…
05-12 12:28:05	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xededac…
05-12 09:42:02	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xd2f502…
05-12 09:41:52	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x97848b…
05-12 09:39:12	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6067e2…
05-12 09:38:57	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7cd538…
05-12 09:38:39	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xea92e5…
05-12 09:38:22	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x10d0ad…
05-12 08:37:35	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x222ae6…
05-12 03:04:56	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb19d69…
05-12 02:34:25	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x795609…
05-12 00:34:36	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x0426a5…
05-11 19:17:11	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x51d89d…
05-11 16:55:09	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x87d156…
05-11 16:54:56	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x1c994c…
05-11 08:11:27	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x5c5b50…
05-11 03:34:33	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe4740d…
05-11 02:25:39	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbc7688…
05-11 01:41:02	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x5f6523…
05-10 15:40:28	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xf36f0a…
05-10 14:33:24	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdf7c8a…
05-10 13:48:59	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x4d1a95…
05-10 09:33:41	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xd080f3…
05-10 09:33:31	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x7cc5ee…
05-10 09:09:29	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8a9bc2…
05-10 09:06:18	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9be9a4…
05-10 08:21:07	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd0a0ed…
05-10 08:08:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x78203c…
05-10 07:38:45	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x340893…
05-10 07:28:32	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe1541d…
05-10 07:21:09	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x104d56…
05-10 06:43:53	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbdf2bd…
05-10 06:43:46	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x73769c…
05-10 06:43:34	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdaa375…
05-10 03:26:45	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6cfa5d…
05-10 02:58:50	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x88439d…