Long-Pass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-04 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-2

Sports

29% 100% +$10

Politics

8% 100% +$5

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.2K	1,628	1,628	+0	open	—	04-06 11:34
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,626	1,626	+0	No	$-2	04-09 02:52
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.2K	1,612	1,612	+0	open	—	04-03 07:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$177	185	0	+185	open	—	06-04 11:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$170	177	0	+177	open	—	06-10 01:58
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	1	$152	177	0	+177	open	—	06-04 00:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$122	137	0	+137	open	—	05-29 00:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$104	135	0	+135	open	—	05-22 13:05
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 08:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-27 02:41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	3	$55	75	23	+52	open	—	05-19 13:28
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	03-12 02:41
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	01-02 05:01
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	02-18 12:16
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 07:28
will bnb reach 1100 in march	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-12 02:40
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	2	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	02-13 10:44
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	02-13 10:44
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	05-19 12:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-19 12:38
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-19 12:52
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$31	0	31	-31	open	—	01-02 02:35
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$31	0	34	-34	open	—	01-02 05:01
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	03-31 08:42
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-13 10:45
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	03-12 02:41
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-16 07:21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$24	29	0	+29	Yes	+$5	03-09 13:10
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	03-25 07:48
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-16 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:59:22	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x43d482…
06-10 01:58:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x548bc2…
06-04 11:39:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	185	95¢	$177	0xec84bb…
06-04 00:39:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	Yes	BUY	177	86¢	$152	0xceb19d…
05-29 00:51:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd9f0e5…
05-29 00:50:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	89¢	$122	0x7fe223…
05-22 13:05:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	135	77¢	$104	0x582c79…
05-22 13:05:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0x86b0db…
05-19 13:28:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xb3e5f9…
05-19 13:28:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	23	54¢	$13	0x36a800…
05-19 12:42:19	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xfe51b5…
05-19 12:41:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xdd9314…
05-19 12:40:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x2ed060…
05-19 12:40:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xd88890…
05-19 12:38:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd687ca…
05-19 12:38:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7deb70…
05-13 08:17:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xd26a08…
05-13 08:14:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf60129…
05-05 02:59:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x9c2e94…
04-30 07:35:36	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xa6e92c…
04-30 07:32:06	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2c30fa…
04-30 07:30:30	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xeb3346…
04-30 07:29:02	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xb00a52…
04-30 07:28:32	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe90ca9…
04-16 07:21:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x53c0d8…
04-16 07:21:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x2b3dd3…
04-16 07:17:56	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0xbebd8f…
04-13 05:20:05	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x74bcb5…
04-13 05:19:27	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x2eac77…
04-09 02:52:39	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,626	100¢	$1,619	0xb60a86…
04-09 02:52:15	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xa18686…
04-08 01:38:55	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xa93a07…
04-06 11:35:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,626	100¢	$1,621	0x079216…
04-06 11:34:57	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,628	100¢	$1,621	0x23f720…
04-03 07:49:39	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,628	100¢	$1,621	0xc74741…
04-03 07:48:51	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,612	99¢	$1,604	0xc6613f…
03-31 08:43:37	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,612	100¢	$1,604	0xc7fe5c…
03-31 08:42:49	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x780023…
03-31 08:42:43	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x90260c…
03-28 05:24:33	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x2dd1e3…
03-28 05:22:41	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xeacdd4…
03-25 07:48:41	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xa31390…
03-25 07:48:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x0c01a9…
03-12 02:41:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x31dc43…
03-12 02:41:05	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xa85b0a…
03-12 02:40:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x829afc…
03-12 02:40:23	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x073e8b…
03-09 13:10:15	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x8c3210…
03-02 05:18:55	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8d14f4…
03-02 05:18:39	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1936f5…
03-02 05:18:27	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe4e955…
02-18 12:17:02	will xrp reach 2pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x87b920…
02-18 12:16:42	will newcastle united advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x424778…
02-18 12:16:20	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe424d9…
02-13 10:46:15	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf41090…
02-13 10:45:31	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x151acb…
02-13 10:44:37	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x516023…
02-13 10:44:03	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0xdfc0a5…
02-07 04:45:53	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xca845a…
01-27 02:43:51	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa49b99…
01-27 02:41:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x48a29f…
01-19 12:52:08	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xa59697…
01-14 08:14:14	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x8e3098…
01-05 08:28:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2b08f5…
01-02 05:01:49	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x4dc29c…
01-02 05:01:43	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x1c008b…
01-02 02:36:31	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf1817a…
01-02 02:35:59	lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb0692d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$225.0K	4,653	06-07 19:09
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$26.8K	426	06-08 20:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	37	$5.46K	1,031	06-04 12:04
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	33	$7.88M	12,081	06-09 20:13
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	29	$98.0K	8,801	06-09 20:34
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	29	$20.1K	2,024	06-05 09:16
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	29	$3.59K	1,946	06-10 02:31
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	27	$64.4K	4,706	05-04 13:09