Infatuated-Efficiency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-12 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 37% +$138

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$239	2,062	562	+1,500	Up	+$131	05-06 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$208	135	113	+21	Down	+$1	05-06 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$120	115	115	+0	Down	+$110	05-06 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$109	282	182	+100	Down	+$67	05-06 20:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$50	1,284	0	+1,284	open	—	03-03 08:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$49	612	0	+612	open	—	03-09 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$46	70	47	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$45	157	110	+47	Down	+$1	05-06 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$44	129	0	+129	Down	$-44	05-06 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$42	93	62	+30	Up	+$2	05-11 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$38	968	0	+968	Down	$-38	05-06 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$38	117	83	+33	Up	+$16	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$32	53	36	+17	Up	+$10	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$31	238	0	+238	Down	$-31	05-06 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$31	350	0	+350	Up	$-31	05-06 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$30	250	0	+250	Up	$-30	05-06 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$28	64	45	+19	Up	+$2	05-07 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$25	200	0	+200	Down	$-25	05-06 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$25	750	0	+750	Down	$-25	05-06 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$25	388	0	+388	Down	$-25	05-06 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$23	62	0	+62	Down	$-23	05-12 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$23	45	45	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$23	25	25	+0	Up	+$21	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$22	129	0	+129	Up	$-22	05-06 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$21	243	0	+243	Up	$-21	05-06 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$20	571	0	+571	Up	$-20	05-06 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$20	151	0	+151	Up	$-20	05-07 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$20	205	0	+205	Up	$-20	05-06 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$19	268	0	+268	Up	$-19	05-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$18	78	28	+50	Down	+$4	05-06 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xc0217a…
05-11 11:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x85e1e3…
05-11 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xb9eb10…
05-11 11:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xd3c0fc…
05-11 11:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x389de7…
05-11 11:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa73a28…
05-11 11:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9a69de…
05-11 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0x6db5d1…
05-11 11:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2d1e59…
05-11 11:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcff4e8…
05-11 11:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xf97f76…
05-11 11:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x032c64…
05-11 11:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x51e085…
05-11 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0x034532…
05-11 11:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	175	3¢	$5	0xaa60ed…
05-11 11:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x352a35…
05-11 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0ae59e…
05-11 11:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfd91e7…
05-11 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3d97bc…
05-11 11:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x2ae841…
05-11 11:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x454acf…
05-10 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf771b5…
05-10 23:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xe062f1…
05-10 23:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbd370d…
05-10 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xb222bf…
05-10 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x32a763…
05-10 23:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc69778…
05-10 23:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x107124…
05-10 22:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x151230…
05-10 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x91bb1d…
05-10 22:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x8df169…
05-10 22:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xcf8297…
05-10 22:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6abc1b…
05-10 22:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x11e70c…
05-07 19:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	108	11¢	$12	0x8e6096…
05-07 19:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa3e87a…
05-07 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd66b71…
05-07 19:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x40cb78…
05-07 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbd3108…
05-07 19:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3f839c…
05-07 19:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb94080…
05-07 19:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0xa8107b…
05-07 19:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x63e855…
05-07 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x20a95b…
05-07 07:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02b8eb…
05-07 06:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4110ea…
05-07 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x9f14b6…
05-07 05:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x44f8c0…
05-07 05:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x196193…
05-07 05:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x81b7be…
05-07 05:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x60dc76…
05-07 05:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6798e0…
05-07 05:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x74c208…
05-07 05:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x08b775…
05-07 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x98a31c…
05-07 05:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x2e773b…
05-07 05:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xedd37f…
05-07 05:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfd9303…
05-07 05:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xdcbfbb…
05-07 05:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xded538…
05-07 05:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xba3a93…
05-07 05:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0xd9c329…
05-07 05:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x169fff…
05-07 05:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	83	32¢	$27	0xd4e350…
05-07 05:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3fdfa3…
05-07 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x93ba7b…
05-07 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xd8f5ba…
05-07 04:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x47e668…
05-07 04:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8f36ce…
05-07 04:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xd0bca9…
05-07 04:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xa25d83…
05-07 04:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x6d5ed7…
05-07 04:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xe6974d…
05-07 04:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x2e9192…
05-07 04:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x0a5bd5…
05-07 04:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4ea62b…
05-07 04:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x007925…
05-07 04:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xdc5d69…
05-07 04:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x49e9e1…
05-07 04:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xae6be9…
05-07 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x08154a…
05-07 04:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x62d64e…
05-07 04:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x5ae58f…
05-07 04:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x82e6f3…
05-07 04:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ca1ed…
05-07 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3e0a5a…
05-07 02:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd7dd52…
05-07 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02426a…
05-07 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x45dc3c…
05-07 01:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x09e3a8…
05-07 01:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc3f150…
05-07 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdd1df3…
05-07 01:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0x174590…
05-07 01:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1ccf6e…
05-07 01:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56e226…
05-07 01:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x17c815…
05-07 01:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x2b6429…
05-07 01:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x753820…
05-07 01:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf3b508…
05-07 01:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb97921…