Negative-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$482

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 80% $-3

Other

21% 70% $-92

Sports

19% 0% $-2

Politics

1% 100% +$16

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$6.1K	3,076	3,076	+0	No	$-3	03-24 07:54
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.2K	1,587	1,587	+0	No	$-2	03-24 04:39
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$0	03-26 03:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$3.1K	1,560	1,560	+0	No	+$5	03-20 03:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$182	99	99	+0	No	+$16	06-08 01:44
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$143	73	73	+0	No	+$3	05-30 02:30
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$0	01-24 09:00
will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	2	$105	53	53	+0	No	$-0	01-16 07:15
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	1	$97	122	0	+122	Yes	$-97	06-08 01:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-02 05:48
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	02-10 07:16
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-29 05:25
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$-0	03-24 04:39
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	02-04 02:23
Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-17 04:46
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-24 02:13
Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-11 09:56
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-02 05:49
Discord IPO before 2027?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	07-21 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:11:21	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x438c9e…
06-08 01:45:16	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	122	79¢	$97	0x09aeca…
06-08 01:44:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x7d7c97…
05-30 02:30:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x27435f…
05-30 02:30:09	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x392d65…
05-22 02:23:55	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xb4b75b…
04-17 04:46:10	Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x965eee…
04-11 09:56:23	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x91a3bd…
03-29 05:25:48	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x2da630…
03-26 03:24:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,555	100¢	$1,552	0x5051c4…
03-24 07:55:43	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xfd7265…
03-24 07:54:53	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,555	100¢	$1,552	0xda1981…
03-24 07:54:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,525	100¢	$1,522	0x88233c…
03-24 04:40:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,525	100¢	$1,523	0x2dd600…
03-24 04:39:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x68666f…
03-24 04:39:33	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,587	99¢	$1,578	0x58bd8f…
03-22 03:03:11	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7f45b6…
03-22 03:01:15	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,587	100¢	$1,579	0xecfd47…
03-22 03:00:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,551	100¢	$1,546	0x10ab62…
03-20 03:25:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,551	100¢	$1,548	0x6cf632…
03-20 03:24:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,560	99¢	$1,549	0xc61111…
03-18 04:32:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,560	99¢	$1,545	0x6979b5…
03-02 05:49:09	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9a7eee…
03-02 05:48:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x5dfd69…
02-24 02:13:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1699fc…
02-24 02:13:00	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x202753…
02-10 07:17:59	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x673589…
02-10 07:16:51	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3bd520…
02-04 02:23:38	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb4508d…
01-31 07:49:56	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x36ce1a…
01-24 09:00:18	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x4dc761…
01-16 07:15:52	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0xdc35b4…
01-13 09:14:51	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x477a60…
01-03 09:16:27	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x9adc39…