Authentic-Crib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-15 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$1

Sports

21% 38% $-2

Crypto

17% 35% $-4

Other

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$58	57	57	+0	open	—	05-08 16:07
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	8	$53	1,178	1,178	+0	open	—	05-12 19:51
Knicks vs. 76ers	3	$17	10	10	+0	Knicks	+$3	05-09 02:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-07 15:32
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$10	7	7	+0	New York Mets	+$4	05-09 04:26
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$7	4	4	+0	Spurs	+$1	05-09 04:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-08 14:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	05-08 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 04:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-07 15:30
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$4	7	0	+7	Atlanta Braves	$-4	05-10 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$3	29	0	+29	Up	$-3	05-08 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$3	106	0	+106	Down	+$1	05-09 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$3	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-09 03:39
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$2	3	0	+3	Baltimore Orioles	$-2	05-11 12:22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$2	5	0	+5	Cleveland Guardians	$-2	05-11 12:22
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$2	4	0	+4	Milwaukee Brewers	$-2	05-10 15:13
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	Under	$-2	05-10 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	46	0	+46	Down	$-2	05-09 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$1	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-09 14:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-11 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-08 21:09
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$1	2	0	+2	Tampa Bay Rays	$-1	05-11 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	+$6	05-09 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-09 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-10 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe0dae2…
05-12 19:51:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1,009	0¢	$1	0x4e5247…
05-11 12:23:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xee00d0…
05-11 12:22:37	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa61ff8…
05-11 12:22:26	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x880cf4…
05-11 04:17:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	984	1¢	$10	0x8f9712…
05-11 02:23:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5d7b7e…
05-10 19:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x01549a…
05-10 15:58:43	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x444707…
05-10 15:14:02	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf0b5ac…
05-10 15:13:55	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe45c45…
05-10 15:00:46	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xca3138…
05-09 14:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xaf8b2b…
05-09 14:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x070c83…
05-09 14:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf98a57…
05-09 04:48:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa9beb6…
05-09 04:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x91b6c6…
05-09 04:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x621748…
05-09 04:26:29	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x12d44f…
05-09 03:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb18a61…
05-09 03:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3bba4b…
05-09 03:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1f01b6…
05-09 03:38:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xacdc43…
05-09 03:34:22	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6287fe…
05-09 03:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ea2db…
05-09 03:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2bc54a…
05-09 03:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd01e7e…
05-09 03:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x729b15…
05-09 03:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x728a8e…
05-09 03:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xab6b3c…
05-09 03:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb51dbe…
05-09 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x72c376…
05-09 02:50:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x0245b9…
05-09 02:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x548932…
05-09 02:36:16	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x33873f…
05-09 00:30:16	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xafdd6e…
05-09 00:29:32	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4e8085…
05-08 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe22a83…
05-08 21:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x212a68…
05-08 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xc0fd79…
05-08 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xabd556…
05-08 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2efc20…
05-08 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf6249b…
05-08 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xfcd711…
05-08 21:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x04dd9b…
05-08 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11018a…
05-08 16:08:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x5dfa00…
05-08 16:07:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x533daa…
05-08 14:48:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x9b7a83…
05-08 13:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3da9c4…
05-07 21:12:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0xa32789…
05-07 21:03:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xff1ee4…
05-07 20:56:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x526dcd…
05-07 20:54:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa74fc6…
05-07 20:44:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xd0a5fd…
05-07 20:42:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	133	13¢	$17	0x6ba8dc…
05-07 16:15:15	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x4c8688…
05-07 16:14:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x47e196…
05-07 16:02:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x7fc6ac…
05-07 15:33:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x905b5f…
05-07 15:32:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xaaa317…
05-07 15:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4df49c…
05-07 15:30:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x30d12e…
05-07 15:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd198a9…
05-05 14:47:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0584bc…
05-05 14:42:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa7f0de…