Excited-Heat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$856

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-22 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$37	47	33	+14	Down	+$19	05-09 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	05-09 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Down	+$6	05-09 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-17 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$15	20	0	+20	Down	+$5	05-09 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$15	26	0	+26	Down	$-15	05-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$11	53	0	+53	Down	$-11	05-10 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-09 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	56	0	+56	Down	$-10	05-06 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-10	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-10	05-09 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$9	7	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$8	35	0	+35	Down	$-8	05-10 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$8	22	0	+22	Up	$-2	05-09 12:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$8	15	2	+13	open	—	05-16 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$7	35	0	+35	Up	$-7	05-10 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 10:07
btc updown 15m 1776876300	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 16:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x8d49f8…
05-22 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4892f2…
05-22 20:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xdf2109…
05-22 20:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa6cfa9…
05-22 20:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x061b41…
05-22 20:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x59ef40…
05-22 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xcb228c…
05-22 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8ce3e5…
05-22 19:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1f9d6b…
05-22 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x7c221c…
05-22 19:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x410555…
05-22 18:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x09568d…
05-22 18:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xcea94e…
05-22 18:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x9d6db8…
05-22 18:21:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x00a3c1…
05-22 18:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xfcac6c…
05-22 18:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x2823b1…
05-22 17:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xabe820…
05-22 17:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x15214a…
05-22 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7485b0…
05-22 16:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1fa7ef…
05-22 16:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdb91ab…
05-22 16:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x598aa7…
05-22 16:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6f517…
05-22 16:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x90691a…
05-22 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd8f9e5…
05-22 15:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7069ad…
05-22 15:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x96558c…
05-22 15:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x23da19…
05-22 15:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8135a0…
05-22 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc1261e…
05-22 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd96e5e…
05-22 14:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3fbfbd…
05-22 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc897ec…
05-22 13:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xb75196…
05-22 13:36:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x6f9fc8…
05-22 13:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb92905…
05-22 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x662b52…
05-22 13:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x20cc6c…
05-22 12:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6b5bb7…
05-22 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42a01a…
05-22 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9a43e4…
05-22 12:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x025e63…
05-22 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7b696b…
05-22 12:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6d25d8…
05-22 12:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8af281…
05-22 12:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x861357…
05-22 11:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe87534…
05-22 09:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xdb5eb3…
05-22 09:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x5a7b39…
05-22 06:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xd03582…
05-21 09:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbc3620…
05-21 09:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4dccc4…
05-21 05:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8247f9…
05-21 05:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6925e0…
05-21 05:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xac38d1…
05-21 04:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfa0bd9…
05-21 04:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb37fd5…
05-21 04:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xfeadf1…
05-21 01:02:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa69ac7…
05-21 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x803f29…
05-21 00:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb1cd46…
05-21 00:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x20aae0…
05-21 00:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5ce9f8…
05-20 20:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0becb0…
05-20 20:27:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7b3d0…
05-20 20:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x849f2a…
05-20 18:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x63b981…
05-20 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd2f02…
05-20 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e2f80…
05-20 18:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf4b13c…
05-20 17:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe2c7dc…
05-20 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5262d2…
05-20 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0e3174…
05-20 17:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x37a6e5…
05-20 16:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x493af2…
05-20 16:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5c53cf…
05-20 16:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd267b2…
05-20 16:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa8f38f…
05-20 15:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd7a7f1…
05-20 14:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa1c161…
05-20 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3a3bea…
05-20 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f4c5d…
05-20 10:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xba8e4c…
05-20 10:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xe33f0e…
05-20 10:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3475ca…
05-20 10:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1b8b35…
05-18 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x9e9c1b…
05-18 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x850124…
05-18 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x057fab…
05-18 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb67110…
05-18 15:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70f0ee…
05-18 14:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xda83ae…
05-18 12:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfc14ac…
05-18 04:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x46b889…
05-18 04:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4746bc…
05-18 03:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xdd1127…
05-18 03:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4836bc…
05-18 03:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xaa916e…
05-18 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0a4bc4…