Subdued-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-31 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Other

32% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	02-05 09:23
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-23 06:44
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-19 03:16
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-10 02:21
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-02 03:36
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 215 239	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	03-28 07:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	1	$91	92	+92	open	—	03-20 09:33
ethereum above 2400 on march 14	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	03-13 07:26
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	03-06 03:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	05-10 07:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-27 07:49
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	02-27 03:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$88	89	+89	No	+$0	05-12 08:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	05-15 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$84	85	+85	open	—	05-23 02:10
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$82	83	+83	open	—	05-31 06:42
ethereum above 2400 on march 3	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	03-02 08:10
ethereum above 3300 on january 10	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-10 08:41
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	01-05 08:26
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	01-18 07:36
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 480 499	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-15 05:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$41	41	+41	open	—	02-15 05:42
nhl tb dal 2026 01 18	1	$19	37	+37	open	—	01-18 06:52
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-02 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	open	—	05-15 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-23 01:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	04-27 07:48
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	02-15 05:36
bitcoin above 58k on february 27	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-27 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:42:58	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xc6b4cb…
05-23 02:10:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$84	0x221f04…
05-23 01:49:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x09d175…
05-15 06:20:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xf45d05…
05-15 06:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x57d941…
05-12 08:14:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0xa07cee…
05-10 07:12:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x97c382…
04-27 07:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x0ef323…
04-27 07:48:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x27f55f…
04-23 06:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8b439f…
04-19 03:16:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd8acf6…
04-10 02:21:35	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x342434…
04-02 03:36:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x9f480d…
03-28 07:31:03	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 215 239	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe506c2…
03-20 09:33:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x2d6aa0…
03-13 07:26:49	ethereum above 2400 on march 14	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x3c8df8…
03-06 03:51:29	ethereum above 1800 on march 6	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xbe8069…
03-02 08:10:19	ethereum above 2400 on march 3	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x8cc548…
03-02 08:06:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bbee4…
02-27 03:49:42	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb0abe0…
02-27 03:49:32	bitcoin above 58k on february 27	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6df2c3…
02-15 05:42:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x1c434f…
02-15 05:36:41	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x1f6473…
02-15 05:34:21	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 480 499	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf83ebd…
02-05 09:23:25	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x830bc9…
01-18 07:36:34	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4ada8e…
01-18 06:52:20	nhl tb dal 2026 01 18	Lightning	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xf6f1a2…
01-10 08:41:24	ethereum above 3300 on january 10	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xccffc1…
01-05 08:26:23	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x631e17…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	21	$2.02K	812	05-29 16:23
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	19	$39.7K	742	05-26 10:01
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	17	$1.86K	1,633	04-17 09:29
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	15	$9.36K	120	05-14 16:11
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	13	$52.0K	367	05-15 02:25
Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c	13	$9.65K	354	04-25 11:56
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	9	$46.6K	762	04-27 13:34
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	9	$10.1K	921	05-12 00:01