Utilized-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

353

Trades

1,632

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-16 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-257

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		-22	$-20	88¢	$-19	+$1	06-02 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	7	$150	122	122	+0	Up	$-6	05-12 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$129	222	0	+222	Down	$-129	05-08 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$100	152	0	+152	Down	+$52	05-08 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	04-26 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$85	140	0	+140	Up	$-85	05-08 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$80	44	44	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 13:01
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$60	67	0	+67	open	—	04-25 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$60	64	0	+64	open	—	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$60	92	0	+92	open	—	04-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$54	72	0	+72	Up	+$18	05-10 09:48
btc updown 15m 1780678800	4	$53	31	31	+0	open	—	06-05 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$50	127	0	+127	open	—	04-25 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	$-50	05-08 15:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-25 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	04-25 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	04-25 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-25 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 10:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-25 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-25 12:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	05-12 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	05-12 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	05-12 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	6	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	05-12 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 20:23:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x481184…
06-16 17:08:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x2bf409…
06-16 17:07:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x2282cd…
06-16 10:22:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x3f6f62…
06-15 20:33:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x5ca507…
06-15 20:33:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc81ec9…
06-15 20:27:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xd48450…
06-15 20:24:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf0cc53…
06-15 10:39:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x29389a…
06-10 18:42:28	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x33a061…
06-10 04:34:57	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4afc8b…
06-09 23:38:51	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x52d711…
06-09 20:35:48	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x16ae4e…
06-09 20:29:13	wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf3a569…
06-08 18:34:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe27c44…
06-07 23:38:16	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xfc15e8…
06-07 23:38:16	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x30ce28…
06-07 23:34:28	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x347e10…
06-07 23:34:24	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x725075…
06-07 23:32:27	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9b0ee0…
06-07 23:31:37	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd9b45b…
06-07 23:30:52	eth updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7398c8…
06-07 23:30:34	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1efd7…
06-07 23:30:15	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x6cf8cb…
06-07 23:29:51	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x425d52…
06-07 23:24:25	btc updown 15m 1780874100	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfd0241…
06-07 23:17:57	btc updown 15m 1780874100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa31577…
06-07 23:07:13	sol updown 5m 1780873500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa61371…
06-07 23:03:31	eth updown 5m 1780873500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf598e0…
06-07 23:00:04	btc updown 15m 1780873200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa14b4f…
06-07 22:46:12	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x512b30…
06-07 22:45:48	btc updown 15m 1780872300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7de16e…
06-07 22:23:34	btc updown 5m 1780871100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa17d2d…
06-07 22:19:30	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5bee7d…
06-07 22:15:27	btc updown 15m 1780870500	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x048187…
06-07 22:10:31	btc updown 5m 1780870200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1e83ad…
06-07 22:06:40	btc updown 15m 1780869600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1fbf89…
06-07 22:01:28	btc updown 15m 1780869600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ffbfe…
06-07 21:59:40	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9e2f6f…
06-07 21:48:12	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2a8297…
06-07 21:47:57	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2a742d…
06-07 21:44:04	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x64ef22…
06-07 21:20:46	btc updown 5m 1780867200	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcb3a1d…
06-07 21:17:25	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6bbf01…
06-07 20:44:31	eth updown 15m 1780864200	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x15f9a9…
06-07 20:37:04	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x48df5e…
06-07 20:32:33	eth updown 15m 1780864200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6d7a84…
06-07 20:29:09	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x994d67…
06-07 20:28:54	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d1c5a…
06-07 20:26:52	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5d0236…
06-07 20:26:21	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5fd441…
06-07 20:26:04	eth updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x157ea5…
06-07 20:25:06	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xbde1f5…
06-07 20:15:31	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a5173…
06-07 14:52:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x69709d…
06-07 14:47:57	bitcoin above 62000 on june 7 2026 11am et	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xad44f8…
06-07 14:16:22	btc updown 5m 1780841700	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xe29ac3…
06-07 14:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780841700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x520991…
06-07 14:12:21	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc94963…
06-07 14:12:06	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc82747…
06-07 14:12:06	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x97246c…
06-07 14:12:06	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x23c7ea…
06-07 14:11:15	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xfe114e…
06-07 14:09:55	btc updown 15m 1780840800	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8d98ee…
06-07 14:09:48	eth updown 15m 1780840800	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe4dea3…
06-07 08:55:27	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfa1b72…
06-07 08:52:30	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0a1e10…
06-07 08:51:37	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x6082e4…
06-07 08:48:36	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb51533…
06-07 08:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x83a950…
06-07 08:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x054502…
06-07 08:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8c7770…
06-07 08:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x62fdaf…
06-07 07:40:15	btc updown 5m 1780818000	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x35896d…
06-07 07:35:04	btc updown 5m 1780817700	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5d950b…
06-07 07:35:03	btc updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc1530a…
06-07 07:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780817400	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x44fd61…
06-07 07:30:01	btc updown 5m 1780817400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9eb522…
06-07 07:30:01	btc updown 5m 1780817400	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x2f74f9…
06-07 07:30:01	btc updown 5m 1780817400	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x229220…
06-07 07:27:19	btc updown 5m 1780817100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe10dfa…
06-07 07:27:19	btc updown 5m 1780817100	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xb10aa5…
06-07 07:25:04	btc updown 5m 1780817100	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4789f7…
06-07 07:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7e6064…
06-07 07:20:03	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3990fc…
06-07 07:05:54	btc updown 5m 1780815900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x20a93a…
06-07 07:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780815900	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x93216f…
06-07 07:04:54	btc updown 5m 1780815900	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6a8575…
06-07 07:03:13	btc updown 5m 1780815600	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x854bcf…
06-07 07:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780815600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4d25c4…
06-07 06:56:31	btc updown 5m 1780815300	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x8664ee…
06-07 06:56:31	btc updown 5m 1780815300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x575218…
06-07 06:54:19	btc updown 5m 1780815300	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xffeb64…
06-07 06:51:21	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x675665…
06-07 06:51:21	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x545d3f…
06-07 06:47:40	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5678f1…
06-07 06:47:25	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf69180…
06-07 06:45:13	btc updown 5m 1780814700	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xa740eb…
06-07 06:45:13	btc updown 5m 1780814700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6bc987…
06-07 06:43:06	btc updown 5m 1780814700	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x86abcf…