Royal-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$7	35	10	+25	Down	+$3	05-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$4	50	0	+50	Up	$-4	05-14 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$3	150	0	+150	Down	$-3	05-13 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	43	0	+43	Down	$-3	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-13 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1687d3…
05-13 23:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x117bfb…
05-13 23:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x1fb926…
05-13 23:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xde7bc2…
05-13 23:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x69a4e0…
05-13 23:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x61a11b…
05-13 23:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdc7fd2…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x9d87ae…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x929705…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7ab5c1…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x6f87de…
05-13 23:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc9911d…
05-13 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f4074…
05-13 22:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xffdd23…
05-13 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xdc2059…
05-13 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd3b1fc…
05-13 22:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd160bf…
05-13 22:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3b7b91…
05-13 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4f039d…
05-13 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbba735…
05-13 22:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c3be2…
05-13 22:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x953bc9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	13	$17.0K	2,524	05-14 00:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	13	$13.6K	182	05-14 00:04
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	13	$10.7K	1,091	05-14 00:02
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	13	$9.77K	2,116	05-14 00:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	13	$7.75K	431	05-14 00:03
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$6.55K	561	05-14 00:03
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	13	$6.54K	648	05-14 00:03
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	13	$5.80K	732	05-14 00:04