Earnest-Pair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$151

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 55% $-10

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$17	124	7	+117	Down	$-3	05-12 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$14	37	12	+25	Up	+$2	05-12 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	$-5	05-12 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 04:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	16	16	+0	open	—	05-10 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 17:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$3	200	200	+0	open	—	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-12 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-12 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-11 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-12 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	14	0	+14	Down	$-2	05-10 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-10 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x04fb72…
05-12 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb38eb5…
05-12 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfca2dc…
05-12 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6f4e2f…
05-12 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5ef19d…
05-12 16:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbc5a23…
05-12 16:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xffa7ef…
05-12 16:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd20309…
05-12 16:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe49015…
05-12 16:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xb3c2ad…
05-12 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1d9fe6…
05-12 16:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xed344f…
05-12 16:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6e0f12…
05-12 16:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xae7567…
05-12 16:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x8c895a…
05-12 16:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x60a480…
05-12 15:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd7cdc5…
05-12 15:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0x06eea0…
05-12 15:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x932ce5…
05-12 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x28407d…
05-12 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x42f7e5…
05-11 17:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x7fe09e…
05-11 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x04aaa6…
05-11 17:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1268d4…
05-11 17:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x912294…
05-11 17:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcf406e…
05-11 17:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc1b34…
05-11 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf2290b…
05-11 17:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb2bf9c…
05-11 16:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd9c5db…
05-11 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xadde5d…
05-11 16:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x09b12a…
05-11 16:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3c2093…
05-11 16:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9914af…
05-11 16:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x84efb8…
05-11 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b562a…
05-10 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x36c4d7…
05-10 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x801e18…
05-10 17:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d6708…
05-10 17:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7603f8…
05-10 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xf299b1…
05-10 17:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x748f0c…
05-10 13:40:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xc2eaf4…
05-10 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaa21d9…
05-10 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf00686…
05-10 04:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x734d37…
05-10 04:31:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xfa6ee6…
05-10 04:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35a1ac…
05-10 04:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf97564…
05-10 04:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xf34201…
05-10 04:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe9e106…
05-10 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf495a3…
05-10 04:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4a7db1…
05-10 03:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x504cec…
05-09 22:14:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9bb5bb…
05-09 19:16:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x612316…