Grandiose-Tip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-23 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 67% +$5

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$98	102	0	+102	open	—	04-26 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$97	105	0	+105	open	—	04-27 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	open	—	04-26 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$95	97	0	+97	open	—	04-27 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$93	96	0	+96	open	—	04-26 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$90	97	0	+97	open	—	04-26 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	04-26 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-26 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$47	54	0	+54	open	—	04-26 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	04-26 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$33	22	18	+4	open	—	04-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$33	36	0	+36	open	—	04-26 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	04-26 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$29	55	0	+55	open	—	04-27 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$22	29	0	+29	open	—	04-27 05:43
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	04-26 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-26 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-26 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	$-10	05-07 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-26 05:58
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 17:44:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xbf4da1…
05-08 07:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x90b21a…
05-08 07:16:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x95660f…
05-08 07:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc52f31…
05-08 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2e9c3a…
05-08 07:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1eab89…
05-07 08:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe69a7f…
05-07 08:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bbfa6…
05-07 07:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x56b254…
05-07 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x98902d…
05-07 07:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf8332b…
05-07 07:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd8999b…
05-07 07:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7196f1…
05-07 07:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x540b46…
05-05 18:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x8cddc8…
05-05 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1d2145…
05-05 17:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5dd994…
05-05 17:35:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4bbc71…
05-05 16:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x59858e…
05-05 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x8ce169…
05-05 16:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x624fd8…
04-27 06:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x6f2104…
04-27 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0426b3…
04-27 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2a4615…
04-27 05:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x675d48…
04-27 05:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6ef19a…
04-27 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x497a1a…
04-27 05:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x98af45…
04-27 02:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	105	93¢	$97	0x161bb0…
04-27 02:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	97	97¢	$95	0xe5c7eb…
04-26 18:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb2dab8…
04-26 17:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xdb1428…
04-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1f36b0…
04-26 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0x63305a…
04-26 17:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x866c44…
04-26 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x78e2b9…
04-26 17:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x08ba4f…
04-26 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x5e1296…
04-26 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1b7937…
04-26 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x332522…
04-26 17:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9dd646…
04-26 17:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1b26eb…
04-26 15:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x08b2fc…
04-26 15:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xa189c7…
04-26 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbb3821…
04-26 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x041e56…
04-26 14:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xd56e8a…
04-26 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	96	96¢	$93	0x2be2c2…
04-26 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xbd3d11…
04-26 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x82f56f…
04-26 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf0f851…
04-26 13:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3d6b5e…
04-26 13:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeeb346…
04-26 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x250c4d…
04-26 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x727213…
04-26 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x27d881…
04-26 13:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x12de23…
04-26 13:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x38a64c…
04-26 13:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb9d54c…
04-26 13:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8e9c94…
04-26 09:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8f9247…
04-26 09:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	88¢	$47	0x0b7e6e…
04-26 09:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xea6222…
04-26 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14ad18…
04-26 08:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0d2a62…
04-26 07:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa68199…
04-26 07:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xab9bb2…
04-26 07:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3becdf…
04-26 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	81¢	$35	0x75f0a7…
04-26 07:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x958feb…
04-26 07:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0x767117…
04-26 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2b718e…
04-26 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x4fef49…
04-26 06:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xe30d13…
04-26 06:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x7fe54a…
04-26 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x5f8c61…
04-26 06:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xe2f1ed…
04-26 06:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x7b3ccd…
04-26 06:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x724c44…
04-26 06:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xfa3474…
04-26 06:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0d3ffd…
04-26 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x45ffb4…
04-25 18:00:10	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5ee735…
04-25 17:23:36	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa644a7…
04-25 15:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x85fa87…
04-25 14:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x01fdb4…
04-25 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc57dbc…
04-25 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3b936…
04-25 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x07ea48…
04-25 14:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3f23d5…
04-25 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cf1ed…
04-24 19:04:02	fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 clf	No	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xf44df2…
04-24 18:41:46	fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 clf	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa950f8…
04-14 15:31:23	btc updown 5m 1776180600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x37297d…
04-14 15:30:27	btc updown 5m 1776180600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b6fb3…
04-14 15:27:33	btc updown 5m 1776180300	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x4f4f05…
04-14 15:25:39	btc updown 5m 1776180300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d841d…
04-14 14:48:15	cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xfe376e…
04-14 14:47:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x24defc…
04-14 07:27:01	btc updown 5m 1776151500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x506965…