Wrathful-Fortress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-20 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$4

Politics

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	54	$420	422	372	+51	open	—	03-26 15:08
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	2	$131	80	80	+0	open	—	06-20 01:26
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	04-12 18:58
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	11	$119	135	119	+16	open	—	01-28 21:35
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$104	60	60	+0	open	—	04-12 23:58
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$100	143	23	+120	open	—	04-13 00:30
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	6	$98	58	58	+0	open	—	03-17 03:30
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	3	$74	63	18	+45	open	—	03-18 21:34
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	15	$73	73	73	+0	open	—	03-24 14:45
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	4	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	01-30 00:51
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	4	$45	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 13:56
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	4	$29	42	42	+0	open	—	03-28 02:48
will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt6 and 1pt9	8	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-03 12:17
will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	06-17 15:54
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	01-30 11:57
will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	06-17 18:26
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	1	$9	12	0	+12	Yes	+$3	04-25 18:09
will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	2	$8	35	0	+35	open	—	06-17 13:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	0	9	-9	open	—	01-16 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 01:26:02	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x949c02…
06-20 00:04:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0x045a84…
06-17 18:26:14	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf77087…
06-17 15:54:29	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xa9bd57…
06-17 13:42:43	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x43043b…
06-17 13:42:35	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x5a9882…
04-25 18:09:42	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xb85966…
04-13 00:30:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4bc345…
04-12 23:58:11	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xda65b9…
04-12 20:44:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9a522b…
04-12 19:08:35	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x8577e1…
04-12 18:58:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x8d60e8…
04-09 11:11:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xbc853a…
04-09 02:13:33	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x0e5a8e…
04-09 01:52:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x0252f3…
04-08 18:06:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xd7eb25…
04-08 13:56:19	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x05a1ea…
04-07 23:33:23	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xa9955b…
04-03 08:44:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8f32f1…
04-01 11:54:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x903df8…
04-01 07:00:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0a02f0…
03-31 10:19:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xe80fe4…
03-30 14:59:51	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x2fdebf…
03-28 02:48:27	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x49416e…
03-28 00:55:13	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x29608e…
03-27 22:02:59	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x17cf11…
03-27 18:01:33	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	32¢	$14	0xc8c8e5…
03-26 21:12:33	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0xc18b43…
03-26 15:08:51	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x29005a…
03-26 15:04:33	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x0194ca…
03-26 14:43:43	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xb6cf2d…
03-26 13:42:41	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xcd55d8…
03-26 13:42:39	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xc33be7…
03-26 13:42:37	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x74147f…
03-26 13:42:33	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x9df1a7…
03-26 13:42:31	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x298d19…
03-26 13:42:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x0106ac…
03-26 13:42:25	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x693e89…
03-25 22:48:43	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb8f7b9…
03-25 00:01:29	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb90f09…
03-24 17:53:13	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd0f3c9…
03-24 17:53:13	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x07da6a…
03-24 14:45:19	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xcbcb71…
03-24 14:10:09	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xeca809…
03-24 14:05:01	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x128698…
03-24 11:20:37	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcc8f0e…
03-24 11:20:37	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x377c80…
03-24 11:20:37	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1ef23c…
03-24 10:39:55	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xcc1b6f…
03-24 10:37:09	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe23e64…
03-24 00:04:01	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x21f6d6…
03-23 20:46:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xbc901e…
03-23 20:46:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0x12ff88…
03-23 20:32:47	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xc80702…
03-23 18:45:07	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x1fe251…
03-23 18:43:07	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x2ddf62…
03-22 22:47:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0xfdc614…
03-19 13:37:39	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x10b062…
03-19 13:08:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd70c99…
03-19 12:04:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb20977…
03-19 10:21:35	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f51c4…
03-19 01:38:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4a0e85…
03-18 23:56:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x83d72b…
03-18 21:36:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x69055c…
03-18 21:34:05	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xeff116…
03-17 12:37:27	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x75db83…
03-17 08:34:39	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x52401e…
03-17 03:30:09	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x8b61c1…
03-17 00:42:09	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xc77184…
03-17 00:41:29	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3840c…
03-17 00:37:53	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	52	39¢	$20	0xc3dd82…
03-16 18:19:25	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x63a5a6…
03-16 17:03:03	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xc12cf2…
03-16 15:15:37	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08f38f…
03-16 14:17:45	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	49	40¢	$19	0x41e811…
03-16 12:50:59	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xcfd840…
03-14 22:24:07	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4af539…
03-14 18:27:07	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe47a2d…
03-13 13:08:19	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xb79fd7…
03-13 03:35:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xc2611e…
03-13 02:31:49	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x80926c…
03-13 02:31:45	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb90864…
03-13 02:31:41	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7994ae…
03-13 02:31:39	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa8db19…
03-13 02:31:37	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5ab5af…
03-13 02:31:31	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x287746…
03-13 02:31:25	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8119e1…
03-13 02:31:21	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4e257a…
03-13 02:31:17	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb013ca…
03-13 02:31:17	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x74735b…
03-13 01:22:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x00be85…
03-12 20:58:03	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x88295e…
03-12 18:34:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2bb40f…
03-03 15:53:19	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x8af3c4…
03-03 12:29:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7b7078…
03-03 12:20:57	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x53f0d9…
03-03 12:17:27	will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt6 and 1pt9	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb6ff8f…
03-03 10:48:19	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb05d67…
03-03 10:45:55	will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt6 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57376c…
03-02 17:49:31	will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt6 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8ac185…