Fake-Difference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$76

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 50% $-4

Sports

26% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up		+5	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-13 09:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$10	19	0	+19	Knicks	+$9	05-09 13:28
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	26	0	+26	Cavaliers	$-10	05-09 13:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-13 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 08:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-13 07:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-13 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-13 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-13 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-13 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-13 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	05-13 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	0	22	-22	Down	+$1	05-06 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 09:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58ba04…
05-13 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7aaf34…
05-13 08:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb3652d…
05-13 08:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc598a4…
05-13 08:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc5adb4…
05-13 08:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x675cef…
05-13 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x065dca…
05-13 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x4db6a6…
05-13 08:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6bfbb1…
05-13 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xad31ce…
05-13 07:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa94905…
05-13 07:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x455689…
05-09 13:28:31	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x554bed…
05-09 13:28:16	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa10a2b…
05-06 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x173bc2…
05-06 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x33d0b6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$1.95K	103	05-13 09:21
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$2.49K	55	05-13 09:23
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	7	$3.42K	37	05-13 08:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$927	13	05-13 09:21
Imaginary-Tiger 0xb25e…39aa	5	$1.00K	7	05-13 08:51
Tremendous-Sunlamp 0x95e2…7e07	4	$682	7	05-13 08:54
Impractical-Expose 0x6b56…cb87	4	$524	4	05-13 08:54
Kind-Earrings 0x0162…310b	4	$523	8	05-13 09:23